Sunday, November 19, 2017

Week 12 wrap up

Only three championship berths left to be clinched.  But quite a bit of bowl eligibility on the line next weekend.

Bowl ineligible teams with an asterisk are sitting at 7 losses, and might be able to make a bowl depending on availability and APR rankings.

ACC
Coastal Champion - Miami (7-0)
Miami has won the division based on best record.

Atlantic Champion - Clemson (7-1)
Clemson has won the division based on best record, or the head-to-head tiebreaker over NC State.

Bowl eligible:  Clemson, NC State, VT, Miami, UVA, Louisville, WF, BC
Last game determines eligibility:  Duke, GT
4-6:  FSU (extra game on December 2)
Not bowl eligible:  UNCheat, Pitt*, Syracuse*

SEC
East Champion - Georgia (6-1)
Georgia won the division based on best record.

West
Alabama (7-0) or Auburn (6-1) can clinch the division by beating the other in the Iron Bowl.  The winner will have the best record and a tiebreaker over the other.

Bowl eligible:  Alabama, Georgia, Auburn, LSU, Kentucky, South Carolina, Mississippi State, Texas A&M, Missouri
No bowl:  Ole Miss, Arkansas*, Tennessee*, Vanderbilt*, Florida*

Alabama retains the Championship of Life, and will put it on the line against Auburn.

B1G
East Champion - Ohio State (7-1)
Ohio State currently has the best record.  Even if they lose and Michigan State and/or Penn State win next weekend, Ohio State would own all of the tiebreakers.

West Champion - Wisconsin (8-0)
Wisconsin won the division with the best record.

Bowl eligible:  Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Michigan State, Michigan, Northwestern, Iowa
5-6:  Minnesota, Indiana, Purdue
No bowl:  Illinois, Rutgers*, Maryland*, Nebraska*

Pac-12
North
Washington State (6-2) can clinch the division with a win.  If they lose, Stanford (7-2) will clinch the division.  Washington (6-3) was eliminated.

South Champion - USC (8-1)
USC won with best record.

Bowl eligible:  Washington, Washington State, USC, Stanford, Arizona, Oregon, Arizona State
5-6:  Colorado, Utah, Cal, UCLA
No bowl:  Oregon State

Big 12
Conference championship participant #1:  Oklahoma (7-1)
Oklahoma has the best record in the conference.  Even if they lose their last game, the only other team that can achieve the same record is TCU.

If TCU (6-2) wins on Black Friday, then they clinch the second spot in the title game.

If they lose, they make the Saturday games a little more interesting.  Although, there are only four scenarios where TCU would not win the tiebreakers.

Two way tie
Scenario #1:  TCU/Iowa State
Outcome:  Iowa State clinches on head-to-head over TCU.

Three way ties
The teams involved would be 1-1 against each other, so the next tiebreaker basically compares them to the best team in the conference (Oklahoma).

Scenario #2:  TCU/OSU/Iowa State
Outcome:  Iowa State clinches as the only team to beat Oklahoma.

Scenario #3:  TCU/Texas/Iowa State
Outcome:  Iowa State clinches as the only team to beat Oklahoma.

Scenario #4:  TCU/WVU/Iowa State
Outcome:  WVU and Iowa State both beat Oklahoma, WVU had head-to-head over Iowa State.

TCU can clinch with a win or a Iowa State loss.
Iowa State can clinch with a win and a TCU loss and a WVU loss.
WVU can clinch with a win and a Iowa State win and losses by TCU, Texas, and Oklahoma State.

Oklahoma State and Texas have been officially eliminated from contention.

Bowl eligible:  TCU, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Iowa State, WVU, Kansas State, Texas
5-6:  Texas Tech
No bowl:  Baylor, Kansas

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