Week 9 wrap up

We're finally eliminating some teams, and it turns out that we get a division clinched next weekend!  Meanwhile, the ACC Coastal is still trying their hardest to force a 7 way tie.

Remember, all records listed here are just conference records.

ACC
Atlantic
Magic number:  4

Controls destiny:
-Clemson (5-0) has tiebreakers over NC State, Syracuse, and Wake Forest.
-Boston College (3-1) has a tiebreaker over Wake Forest.  They lost to NC State.

Needs help:
-Syracuse (3-2) needs three Clemson losses.  They have a tiebreaker over NC State.  They will be eliminated with a loss AND Clemson win.
-NC State (2-2) needs losses by Clemson (3), BC, and Syracuse.  They have a tiebreaker over BC.  They will be eliminated with a loss AND Clemson win.
-Wake Forest (1-3) lost to FSU, BC, and Clemson.  They will be eliminated with a loss OR Clemson win.

Out of contention:
-FSU (2-4), Louisville (0-5)

Coastal
Magic number:  5

Controls destiny:
-UVA (4-1) has tiebreakers over UNC, Miami, and Duke.
-VT (3-1) has tiebreakers over Duke and UNC.  They lost to GT.
-Pitt (3-1) has tiebreakers over GT and Duke.  They lost to UNC.

Needs help:
-Miami (2-2) needs 2 UVA losses.  They have a tiebreaker over UNC.
-GT (2-3) needs losses by VT (2), Pitt (3), and Duke, plus an additional loss by UVA.  They have a tiebreaker over VT.
-Duke (1-3) needs losses by VT (3), Pitt (3), and UVA (3).  They have a tiebreaker over GT.
-UNC (1-4) needs losses by VT (4), Miami (3), and UVA.  They have a tiebreaker over Pitt.

Bowl eligible:  Clemson, Notre Dame, UVA, BC, Syracuse
One game away:  NC State, Miami, Duke
One loss away from nothing:  UNC, Louisville

SEC
East
So it turns out that everyone except Georgia (5-1) and Kentucky (5-1) has been eliminated from contention.  And is just so happens that they play each other next week.  The winner will have 6 wins on the season, meaning that any team with more than 2 losses is eliminated, which is every team except Florida (4-2).

So, in a worst case scenario where the winner of UGA/UK loses their last game while the loser wins, both teams would end 6-2.  It wouldn't matter if Florida wins out to create a three-way tie, because they are 0-2 against UGA and UK.  Therefore, any tiebreaking scenario will simply rely on the outcome of the UGA/UK game.

Therefore, the Georgia/Kentucky game on November 3 is the SEC East championship game.

Out of contention:
-Florida (4-2), South Carolina (3-3), Vanderbilt (1-4), Tennessee (0-4), Missouri (0-4)

West
Magic number:  4

Controls destiny:

-Alabama (5-0) has a tiebreaker over Texas A&M.  They clinch the division with a win.

-LSU (4-1) has a tiebreaker over Auburn and Mississippi State.

Needs help:

-Texas A&M (3-2) needs three Alabama losses.
-Auburn (2-3) needs losses by LSU (3), plus an additional losses by Alabama.
-Mississippi State (2-3) needs losses from Texas A&M and Auburn, plus 2 additional losses by Alabama.  They have a tiebreaker over Auburn and Texas A&M.  They will be eliminated with a loss OR Alabama win.

If Alabama beats LSU, their worst record would be 6-2, eliminating Auburn and Miss St.  Best record for Texas A&M and LSU would be 6-2, and both of them would be on the wrong side of the Alabama tiebreaker.

Out of contention:

-Ole Miss (1-3), Arkansas (0-5)

Bowl eligible:  Georgia, Alabama, Florida, LSU, Kentucky
One game away:  Texas A&M, Auburn, Mississippi State
No bowl:  Ole Miss, Arkansas

Big Ten
East
Magic number:  5

Controls destiny:
-Michigan (5-0) has tiebreakers over Michigan State and Maryland.
-Ohio State (4-1) has tiebreakers over Rutgers, Penn State, and Indiana.

Needs help:
-Michigan State (3-2) needs 3 Michigan losses.  They have tiebreakers over Indiana and Penn State.
-Maryland (3-2) needs 3 Michigan losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Rutgers.
-Penn State (3-2) needs losses by OSU and Michigan State, plus an additional Michigan loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Indiana.

Out of contention:
-Indiana (1-5), Rutgers (0-5)

West
Magic number:  5

Controls destiny:
-Northwestern (5-1) has tiebreakers over Wisconsin, Purdue, and Nebraska.

Needs help:
-Wisconsin (3-2) needs 2 NW losses.  They have tiebreakers over Illinois, Iowa, and Nebraska.
-Purdue (3-2) needs 2 Northwestern losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Nebraska and Illinois.
-Iowa (3-2) needs a Wisconsin loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Minnesota.

Probably out soon:
-Illinois (1-4) lost to Purdue and Wisconsin.

-Nebraska (1-4) lost to Northwestern, Purdue, and Wisconsin.  They have a tiebreaker over Minnesota.

-Minnesota (1-4) lost to Nebraska.

These three teams will be eliminated with a loss OR a Northwestern win.

Bowl eligible:  Ohio State, Michigan, Iowa, Penn State
One game away:  Wisconsin, Northwestern, Maryland, Michigan State
One loss away from nothing:  Nebraska
No bowl:  Rutgers

Pac-12
North
Magic number:  6

Controls destiny:
-Washington State (4-1) has tiebreakers over Stanford, Oregon State, and Oregon.
-Washington (4-2) lost to Oregon and Cal, who is behind them in the standings.
-Stanford (3-2) has a tiebreaker over Oregon.

Needs help:
-Oregon (2-3) needs losses by Stanford (2), Washington State (3), and Washington.  They have a tiebreaker over Cal and Washington.
-Cal (2-3) needs losses by Oregon and Washington, plus an additional loss by Washington State.  They have a tiebreaker over Washington.

Just start winning:
-Oregon State (1-4) lost to Washington State and Cal.  They will be eliminated with a loss AND Washington State win.

South
Magic number:  6

Controls destiny:
-Utah (4-2) has tiebreakers over UCLA, USC, and Arizona.

Needs help:
-USC (3-3) needs 2 Utah losses.  The have tiebreakers over Arizona and Colorado.
-Colorado (2-3) needs a USC loss.  They have tiebreakers against UCLA and Arizona State.
-UCLA (2-3) needs a Colorado loss and 2 Utah losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Arizona.
-Arizona (3-3) needs losses by Utah (2) and USC.
-Arizona State (2-3) needs two Colorado losses.  They have a tiebreaker over USC.

Bowl eligible:  Washington, Washington State, Utah
One game away:  Colorado, Oregon, Stanford, Cal
One loss away from nothing:  Oregon State, UCLA

Big 12
Controls destiny:
-Texas (4-1) has tiebreakers over Oklahoma, TCU, Baylor, and K-State.  They lost to OK State.
-WVU (4-1) has tiebreakers over Baylor, Kansas, Kansas State, and Texas Tech.  They lost to Iowa State.

Needs help:
-Oklahoma (4-1) needs a Texas loss.  They have tiebreakers over TCU, Iowa State, K-State, and Baylor.

-Iowa State (3-2) needs losses by Oklahoma (2) and WVU, plus an additional loss by Texas.  They have tiebreakers over Texas Tech, OK State, and WVU.

-Texas Tech (3-2) needs losses by WVU and Iowa State.  They have tiebreakers over Kansas, OK State, and TCU.

-Baylor (2-3) needs losses by WVU (3), Oklahoma (3), and Texas (3).  They have tiebreakers over Kansas and K-State.
-Oklahoma State (2-3) needs losses by Texas Tech (2), Iowa State (2), and Texas (2), plus additional losses by WVU and Oklahoma.  They have tiebreakers over Texas and Kansas.

Probably out soon:

-TCU (1-4) needs losses by Texas (4), Texas Tech (3), and Oklahoma (4), and Iowa State (3).  They have a tiebreaker over Iowa State.

-Kansas State (1-4) needs losses by Oklahoma (4), Baylor (2), WVU (4), and Texas (4).  They have a tiebreaker over OK State.

-Kansas (1-4) needs losses by Texas Tech (3), WVU (4), Baylor (2), and OK State (2).  They have a tiebreaker over TCU.

These three teams will be completely eliminated from contention with a loss and two teams out of Texas, WVU, and Oklahoma winning.

Current projection for the Big 12 championship game:  Texas vs. WVU/Oklahoma winner.

Bowl eligible:  Texas, Oklahoma, WVU
One game away:  Texas Tech, OK State