Oh boy, Tennessee beat Alabama, and it's gonna make things fun in the SEC.
ACC Wheel of Destiny
Atlantic
Controls destiny:
-Clemson (5-0)
W: Wake Forest, NC State, BC, FSU
-Syracuse (3-0)
W: Louisville, NC State
Needs help:
-Wake Forest (1-1) needs 2 Clemson losses.
W: FSU
L: Clemson
-NC State (1-2) needs losses by Clemson (3) and Syracuse (3).
W: FSU
L: Clemson, Syracuse
Just start winning:
-Louisville (1-3) will be eliminated with a loss OR Clemson win.
L: Syracuse, FSU, BC
Out of control:
-Florida State (2-3) will be eliminated with a loss OR Clemson win.
W: Louisville, BC
L: Wake Forest, NC State, Clemson
-Boston College (1-3) will be eliminated with a loss OR Clemson win.
W: Louisville
L: FSU, Clemson
For FSU and BC, their only (slim) chance at winning the division would have to involve either team winning out while Clemson loses out, and forcing a multi-team tie at 5-3. Louisville still has a slight chance to outright win the division because they have yet to play Clemson, so they have the chance to get a head-to-head tiebreaker.
Clemson and Syracuse play each other next weekend in a battle for first place, but then just as we get to the verge of one of them clinching the division, we run into the usual midseason combo of bye week and non-conference games. The earliest that the Atlantic can be clinched is week 10 on November 5 (and only if Clemson beats Syracuse).
Coastal
Controls destiny:
-UNC (3-0)
W: VT, Miami, Duke
-Georgia Tech (2-1)
W: Pitt, Duke
Needs help:
-Pitt (1-1) needs a GT loss.
W: VT
L: GT
-Miami (1-1) needs two UNC losses.
W: VT
L: UNC
-Duke (1-2) needs losses by UNC (3) and GT.
W: uva
L: GT, UNC
Just start winning:
-Virginia Tech (1-3)
L: UNC, Pitt, Miami
-uva (0-2)
L: Duke
SEC
East
Controls destiny:
-Georgia (4-0)
W: South Carolina, Missouri, Vandy
-Tennessee (3-0)
W: Florida
Needs help:
-South Carolina (1-2) needs 3 losses by Georgia and an additional loss by Tennessee.
W: Kentucky
L: Georgia
-Kentucky (2-2) needs a loss by South Carolina plus additional losses by Georgia and Tennessee.
W: Florida
L: South Carolina
-Florida (1-3) needs losses by Tennessee (4) and Kentucky (2), plus additional losses by Georgia (2).
W: Missouri
L: Kentucky, Tennessee
Just start winning:
-Vanderbilt (0-3)
L: Georgia
-Mizzou (0-3)
L: Georgia, Florida
Georgia and Florida have a bye next week and play each other the week after. A Georgia win would eliminate Florida.
West
Controls destiny:
-Ole Miss (3-0)
W: Auburn
-Alabama (3-1)
W: Arkansas, Texas A&M
-LSU (3-1)
W: Mississippi State, Auburn
Needs help:
-Mississippi State (2-2) needs 2 LSU losses and an additional loss by Ole Miss.
W: Texas A&M, Arkansas
L: LSU
-Texas A&M (1-2) needs losses by Alabama (2) and Miss State, plus an additional loss by Ole Miss.
W: Arkansas
L: Mississippi State, Alabama
-Auburn (1-3) needs losses by LSU (3) and Ole Miss (4), plus an additional loss by Alabama.
L: LSU, Ole Miss
-Arkansas (1-3) needs losses by Alabama (3), Miss State (2), and Texas A&M (2), plus additional losses by LSU and Ole Miss (2).
L: Texas A&M, Alabama, Miss State
(EDIT: An earlier version of this post left out the detail that LSU beat Mississippi State in week 3. Standings and scenarios have been adjusted accordingly.)
Big Ten
East
Controls destiny:
-Michigan (4-0)
W: Maryland, Indiana, PSU
-Ohio State (2-0)
W: Rutgers, Michigan State
Needs help:
-Penn State (2-1) needs 2 Michigan losses.
L: Michigan
-Maryland (2-2) needs 3 Michigan losses.
W: Michigan State, Indiana
L: Michigan
Just start winning:
-Indiana (1-3) needs 3 Michigan losses.
L: Michigan, Maryland
-Michigan State (1-3)
L: Maryland, Ohio State
-Rutgers (0-3)
L: Ohio State
West
Controls destiny:
-Purdue (3-1)
W: Minnesota, Nebraska
-Illinois (3-1)
W: Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota
-Northwestern (1-2)
W: Nebraska
L: Wisconsin
Needs help:
-Nebraska (2-2) needs losses by Purdue (2) and Northwestern.
L: Northwestern, Purdue
-Minnesota (1-2) needs losses by Purdue (2) and Illinois (2).
L: Purdue, Illinois
-Iowa (1-2) needs 2 losses by Illinois.
L: Illinois
-Wisconsin (1-3) needs losses by Illinois (3) and Northwestern, plus additional losses by Purdue.
W: Northwestern
L: Illinois
Big 12
-Kansas State (3-0)
W: Oklahoma, Texas Tech, Iowa State
-TCU (3-0)
W: Oklahoma, Kansas, Oklahoma State
-Texas (3-1)
W: WVU, Oklahoma, Iowa State
L: Texas Tech
-Oklahoma State (2-1)
W: Baylor, Texas Tech
L: TCU
-Kansas (2-2)
W: WVU, Iowa State
L: TCU, Oklahoma
-West Virginia (1-2)
W: Baylor
L: Kansas, Texas
-Baylor (1-2)
W: Iowa State
L: Oklahoma State, WVU
-Texas Tech (1-2)
W: Texas
L: Kansas State, OK State
-Oklahoma (1-3)
W: Kansas
L: Kansas State, TCU, Texas
-Iowa State (0-4)
L: Baylor, Kansas, Kansas State, Texas
Pac-12
-Oregon (3-0)
W: Washington State, Stanford, Arizona
-UCLA (3-0)
W: Colorado, Washington, Utah
-Utah (3-1)
W: Arizona State, Oregon State, USC
L: UCLA
-USC (4-1)
W: Stanford, Oregon State, Arizona State, Washington State
L: Utah
-Oregon State (2-2)
W: Stanford, Washington State
L: USC, Utah
-Cal (1-2)
W: Arizona
L: Washington State, Colorado
-Washington (1-2)
W: Stanford
L: UCLA, Arizona State
-Arizona (1-2)
W: Colorado
L: Cal, Oregon
-Washington State (1-3)
W: Cal
L: Oregon, USC, Oregon State
-Arizona State (1-2)
W: Washington
L: Utah, USC
-Colorado (1-2)
W: Cal
L: UCLA, Arizona
-Stanford (0-3)
L: USC, Washington, Oregon State
I always appreciate the weekly wrap-ups!
ReplyDeleteJust one comment:
LSU beat Mississippi State back in Week 3. That puts LSU at 3-1 in conference play, and MSU at 2-2.
Ah, they snuck that one in on me. ESPN's schedule had that game at the bottom and Georgia/USCe on the top, with all of the non-con games in between. I must have gotten lazy and assumed it was another non-con game at the bottom. I've updated the post.
Delete