2023 Week 11 ACC update

Louisville beating uva on Thursday night had a major effect on the ACC race.  It's not over, but it's close.

ACC Wheel of Destiny
Clinched berth:
-Florida State (7-0)
   W:  BC, Clemson, VT, Syracuse, Duke, WF, Pitt

Controls destiny:
-Louisville (6-1)
   W:  Georgia Tech, BC, NC State, Duke, VT, uva
   L:  Pitt

Louisville can clinch the second berth this weekend if UNC loses.  Or they can clinch next week with a win OR loss by UNC.

Needs help:
-UNC (3-2)
   W:  Pitt, Syracuse, Miami
   L:  uva, GT

UNC will be eliminated with a loss OR Louisville win.  If both UNC and Louisville end at 6-2, we'd have to go down the list of tiebreakers.

With Louisville sitting at 6 wins, with a worst possible record of 6-2, any team with 3 or more losses is eliminated.  In addition, Louisville has head-to-head wins over every other 2-loss team, thus eliminating them.

Out of contention:
-Georgia Tech (4-2)
   W:  Wake Forest, Miami, UNC, uva
   L:  Louisville, BC
-Virginia Tech (3-2)
   W:  Pitt, WF, Syracuse
   L:  FSU, Louisville
-Duke (3-2)
   W:  Clemson, NC State, Wake Forest
   L:  FSU, Louisville
-NC State (3-2)
   W:  uva, Clemson, Miami
   L:  Louisville, Duke
-Boston College (3-2)
   W:  uva, GT, Syracuse
   L:  FSU, Louisville
-Miami (2-3)
   W:  Clemson, uva
   L: GT, UNC, NC State
-uva (1-5)
   W:  UNC
   L:  NC State, BC, Miami, GT, Louisville
-Pitt (1-4)
   W:  Louisville
   L:  UNC, VT, WF, FSU
-Clemson (2-4)
   W:  Syracuse, WF
   L:  Duke, FSU, Miami, NC State
-Wake Forest (1-5)
   W:  Pitt
   L: GT, Clemson, VT, FSU, Duke
-Syracuse (0-5)
   L:  Clemson, UNC, FSU, VT, BC

The biggest game of the weekend now is Duke at UNC -- a Duke win would allow Louisville to clinch the second berth in the ACCCG.

The Miami at FSU game also has some implications -- FSU will guarantee themselves the #1 seed with a win.