All of the conferences took care of their multiple-undefeated problems. In fact, the SEC took all of their undefeated teams off the board.
The biggest issue I'm seeing this week is that there are a lot of teams that could be eliminated based on the results of certain teams -- who all seem to be on a bye next week.
But we are able to bring back the category of "controls destiny". There are conferences where it is clear to see a path for certain teams at the top, where they will reach the championship game if they win out.
Remember, everything here is conference record only.
ACC
Controls destiny:
Miami (5-0)
W: VT, Cal, Louisville, FSU, Duke
SMU (5-0)
W: FSU, Louisville, Stanford, Duke, Pitt
Needs help:
Clemson (5-1)
W: NC State, Stanford, FSU, Wake Forest, uva
L: Louisville
Pitt (3-1)
W: UNC, Cal, Syracuse
L: SMU
Louisville (4-2)
W: GT, uva, BC, Clemson
L: SMU, Miami
Syracuse (3-2)
W: GT, NC State, VT
L: Stanford, Pitt
Virginia Tech (3-2)
W: Stanford, BC, GT
L: Miami, Syracuse
GT (3-3)
W: FSU, Duke, UNC
L: Syracuse, Louisville, VT
Duke (2-3)
W: UNC, FSU
L: GT, SMU, Miami
Wake Forest (2-2)
W: NC State, Stanford
L: uva, Clemson
uva (2-3)
W: WF, BC
L: Louisville, Clemson, UNC
NC State (2-3)
W: Cal, Stanford
L: Clemson, WF, Syracuse
UNC (2-3)
W: uva, FSU
L: Duke, Pitt, GT
BC (1-3)
W: FSU
L: uva, VT, Louisville
If Miami or Clemson both win (SMU is on a bye), then all 3-loss teams are eliminated from contention from the #1 seed. If both win, all of those teams are fully eliminated.
Out of contention:
FSU (1-7)
Stanford (1-5)
Cal (0-4)
The ACC does not have to worry about more than 2 undefeated teams anymore, thanks to the Clemson loss.
VT's chances of reaching the ACCCG took a massive blow with their loss, but they are not quite mathematically eliminated from contention yet. Getting into the range of the top 2 would require at least one Pitt loss, a Syracuse loss, and probably a Louisville loss. Then, they still need either SMU to lose at least two games, or Miami to lose out, or possibly both. (This is not me as a fan holding out hope, I'm just working out the possible scenarios to see if there even are enough games left for that to happen.)
SEC
Texas A&M (5-1)
W: Florida, Arkansas, Missouri, Miss St, LSU
L: South Carolina
Georgia (5-1)
W: Kentucky, Auburn, Miss St, Texas, Florida
L: Alabama
Tennessee (4-1)
W: Oklahoma, Florida, Alabama, Kentucky
L: Arkansas
LSU (3-1)
W: SC, Ole Miss, Arkansas
L: Texas A&M
Texas (3-1)
W: Mississippi State, Oklahoma, Vanderbilt
L: Georgia
Arkansas (3-3)
W: Auburn, Tennessee, Mississippi State
L: Texas A&M, LSU, Ole Miss
South Carolina (3-3)
W: Kentucky, Oklahoma, Texas A&M
L: LSU, Ole Miss, Alabama
Alabama (3-2)
W: Georgia, SC, Missouri
L: Vandy, Tennessee
Vanderbilt (3-2)
W: Alabama, Kentucky, Auburn
L: Missouri, Texas
Ole Miss (3-2)
W: SC, Oklahoma, Arkansas
L: Kentucky, LSU
Missouri (2-2)
W: Vandy, Auburn
L: Texas A&M, Alabama
Florida (2-3)
W: Mississippi State, Kentucky
L: Texas A&M, Tennessee, Georgia
Texas A&M is on a bye next week, so it really narrows the chance of teams getting eliminated next week.
A Georgia win will take any 3-loss team out of contention for the #1 seed.
Any 3-loss team can be taken out of contention with a loss OR Tennessee win.
Out of contention:
Oklahoma (1-4)
Auburn (1-5)
Kentucky (1-6)
Mississippi State (0-5)
Big Ten
Controls destiny:
Oregon (6-0)
W: UCLA, Michigan State, Ohio State, Purdue, Illinois, Michigan
Indiana (6-0)
W: UCLA, Maryland, Northwestern, Nebraska, Washington, Michigan State
Ohio State (4-1)
W: Michigan State, Iowa, Nebraska, Penn State
L: Oregon
If any of these teams win out, they will secure a spot in the Big Ten championship game. Ohio State and Indiana face off later this month.
Needs help:
Penn State (4-1)
W: Illinois, UCLA, USC, Wisconsin
L: Ohio State
Iowa (4-2)
W: Minnesota, Washington, Northwestern, Wisconsin
L: Ohio State, Michigan State
Minnesota (4-2)
W: USC, UCLA, Maryland, Illinois
L: Iowa, Michigan
Illinois (3-3)
W: Nebraska, Purdue, Michigan
L: Penn State, Oregon, Minnesota
Wisconsin (3-3)
W: Purdue, Rutgers, Northwestern
L: USC, Penn State, Iowa
Washington (3-3)
W: Northwestern, Michigan, USC
L: Rutgers, Iowa, Indiana
Michigan (3-3)
W: USC, Minnesota, Michigan State
L: Washington, Illinois, Oregon
Any of the 3-loss teams will be eliminated with a loss OR wins by Oregon and Indiana.
The 2-loss teams will be eliminated with a loss AND wins by Oregon and Indiana.
Out of contention:
Nebraska (2-4)
Michigan State (2-4)
USC (2-5)
Northwestern (2-4)
Maryland (1-4)
Rutgers (1-4)
UCLA (2-4)
Purdue (0-5)
Big 12
BYU (5-0)
W: Kansas State, Baylor, Arizona, Oklahoma State, UCF
Iowa State (4-1)
W: Houston, Baylor, WVU, UCF
L: Texas Tech
Colorado (4-1)
W: Baylor, UCF, Arizona, Cincinnati
L: Kansas State
Kansas State (4-2)
W: Oklahoma State, Colorado, WVU, Kansas
L: BYU, Houston
Texas Tech (4-2)
W: Arizona State, Cincinnati, Arizona, Iowa State
L: Baylor, TCU
Cincinnati (3-2)
W: Houston, UCF, Arizona State
L: Texas Tech, Colorado
WVU (3-2)
W: Kansas, Oklahoma State, Arizona
L: Iowa State, Kansas State
Arizona State (3-2)
W: Kansas, Utah, Oklahoma State
L: Texas Tech, Cincy
Houston (3-3)
W: TCU, Utah, Kansas State
L: Cincinnati, Iowa State, Kansas
Baylor (3-3)
W: Texas Tech, Oklahoma State, TCU
L: Colorado, BYU, Iowa State
TCU (3-3)
W: Kansas, Utah, Texas Tech
L: UCF, Houston, Baylor
Out of contention for #1 seed:
UCF (2-4)
W: TCU, Arizona
L: Colorado, Cincy, Iowa State, BYU
Utah (1-4)
W: Oklahoma State
L: Arizona, Arizona State, TCU, Houston
Kansas (1-4)
W: Houston
L: WVU, TCU, Arizona State, Kansas State
Since Colorado and Texas Tech play next week, we know that a second team is guaranteed to get a fifth conference win, meaning that any team with 5 or more losses is automatically eliminated from contention.
Out of contention:
Arizona (1-5)
Oklahoma State (0-6)
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