ACC Wheel of Destiny: Heading into Week 6

By the end of week 6, all of the ACC teams will have started conference play.  However, we already have an interesting set of scenarios.

No team has been officially eliminated yet, but a couple have dug really deep holes.  Below are the scenarios for each team to win their division.  These are the quickest and easiest scenarios, which basically relies on each team to win out their remaining ACC games.  There is a possibility some of the teams near the bottom have easier paths, but that would require multi-team ties.  It's too early in the season to worry about a 3 way tie between 2-loss teams.

Any records mentioned below only refer to conference records.  Any losses mentioned as needed below are in addition to however that team already has, if any.

Atlantic
Clemson and FSU are sitting at the top undefeated.  Maryland and Syracuse have not started conference play.  If any of those four teams win out, they take the division.
Boston College (1-1) needs to win out and have FSU lose two games.
NC State (0-1) needs to win out and have Clemson lose two games.
Wake Forest is in the biggest hole with 2 losses.  In addition to winning out, they need 3 Clemson losses, 2 BC losses, and a loss each by FSU, Maryland, and Syracuse.  For those last three losses, it is in addition to the hypothetical loss WF would be handing each of them while winning out.

Coastal
Virginia Tech (1-0) is the only team in the division that has started conference play and not lost.
Miami has not started conference play.
Pitt's (2-1) only loss comes from FSU.  So, if they win out, they still have 1 loss, but would win all of the head-to-head tiebreakers.
Georgia Tech (2-1) needs 2 VT losses.
UVA (0-1) needs a Pitt loss.
UNC (0-1) needs a GT loss.
Duke (0-2) needs 2 Pitt losses, 2 GT losses, and a loss each by VT and Miami (in both cases, in addition to the loss Duke would need to hand them).

Short version:
Clemson, FSU, Maryland, and Syracuse control their destiny in the Atlantic.
Virginia Tech, Miami, and Pitt control their destiny in the Coastal.
Wake Forest and Duke are just about screwed.
Everyone else has a little bit of a chance.

Each week, I will present a list of key ACC games that will shape the road to the conference championship.  As the season goes on, games will be added, and I'm sure some will be removed as circumstances change.

The Road to the ACC Championship begins in earnest on October 5:
Georgia Tech @ Miami
Maryland @ Florida State
Clemson @ Syracuse
North Carolina @ Virginia Tech

At this point, we'll see some separation in the conference race, especially as the final 3 teams start their conference schedule.

October 12:
Pitt @ Virginia Tech
Boston College @ Clemson

October 19:
Florida State @ Clemson

November 9:
Virginia Tech @ Miami

November 14:
Georgia Tech @ Clemson

November 29:
Miami @ Pitt

It'll be fun to see which team gets eliminated from contention first.  It will probably still take a few more weeks to officially eliminate anybody, as we saw last year.  GT should have been done after their third conference game, but they were helped out by sanctions on two other teams.

And the wheel keeps turning...