Week 11 wrap up

Could we have called this Separation Saturday?  A lot of teams got eliminated, and several races have come down to two teams.
Remember, all records listed here are just conference records.

ACC
Atlantic Champion:  Clemson (7-0)
Clemson clinched the division with best record.

Out of contention:
-Syracuse (5-2), Boston College (4-2), NC State (3-3), FSU (2-5), Wake Forest (2-4), Louisville (0-7)

Coastal
There are two scenarios:
-Pitt (5-1) clinches the division as soon as they win or UVA loses a game.
-UVA (4-2) clinches the division if they win out and Pitt loses out.

Out of contention:
-VT (3-3), GT (3-3), Duke (3-3), Miami (2-4), UNC (1-6)

Bowl eligible:  Clemson, Notre Dame, UVA, BC, Syracuse, NC State, Duke, Pitt, GT
One game away:  Miami, Wake Forest
One loss away from nothing:  FSU
No bowl:  UNC, Louisville

SEC Championship:  Georgia (6-1) vs. Alabama (7-0)
Both teams clinched their division with the best record.

Bowl eligible:  Georgia, Alabama, Florida, LSU, Kentucky, Auburn, Mississippi State, Texas A&M, Missouri

One game away:  South Carolina, Tennessee
One loss away from nothing:  Vanderbilt
No bowl:  Ole Miss, Arkansas

Big Ten
East
Controls destiny:
-Michigan (7-0) can clinch with a win AND Ohio State loss.
-Ohio State (6-1) needs to win out OR have Michigan lose out.

The only clinching scenario next week is if Michigan wins and Ohio State loses.  Any other scenario will turn their rivalry game the following week into a winner-take-all for the division.

Out of contention:
-Michigan State (4-3), Penn State (4-3), Maryland (3-4), Indiana (2-5), Rutgers (0-7)

As detailed last week, Maryland needed nine games to go a certain way over the last three weeks of the season.  Of the three games scheduled for this week, all three went against Maryland.

West Champion:  Northwestern (6-1)
Northwestern clinched with the best record, and potentially head-to-head tiebreakers over Wisconsin and Purdue.

Out of contention:
-Wisconsin (4-3), Purdue (4-3), Iowa (3-4), Illinois (2-5), Nebraska (2-5), Minnesota (2-5)

Bowl eligible:  Ohio State, Michigan, Iowa, Penn State, Wisconsin, Michigan State
One game away:  Northwestern, Maryland, Purdue, Minnesota, Indiana
One loss away from nothing:  Illinois
No bowl:  Rutgers, Nebraska

Pac-12
North
Controls destiny:
-Washington State (6-1) can clinch the division with a win AND Washington loss.
-Washington (5-2) is eliminated with a loss AND Washington State win.

The only clinching scenario next week is if Washington State wins and Washington loses.  Any other scenario will turn their rivalry game the following week into a winner-take-all for the division.

Out of contention:
-Stanford (4-3), Oregon (3-4), Cal (3-4), Oregon State (1-6)

Even if Stanford won out, they would lose any tiebreakers to Washington and Washington State.

South
Controls destiny:
-Arizona State (4-3) has a tiebreaker over USC and Utah.

Needs help:
-Utah (5-3) needs an Arizona State loss.  They have tiebreakers over USC and Arizona.  They can clinch with a win AND Arizona State loss.
-Arizona (4-3) needs a loss by Utah.  They lost to USC.

Both Arizona schools will be eliminated with a loss AND a Utah win.

Out of contention:
-USC (4-4), UCLA (2-5), Colorado (2-5)

USC cannot do any better than a tie at 5-4.  That tie would have to involve Utah.  It would also involve at least one of the Arizona schools.  So, there are only three ties that USC can be involved in:

Four way tie - USC is 1-2 against the group.
Three way tie - USC/Utah/Arizona - Utah is 2-0 and would win.
Three way tie - USC/Utah/Arizona State - USC is 0-2 against the group.

USC does not come out ahead in any of those ties.

Bowl eligible:  Washington, Washington State, Utah, Oregon, Stanford, Arizona State, Cal
One game away:  Colorado, USC, Arizona
No bowl:  Oregon State, UCLA

Big 12
Still in contention:
-WVU (6-1) a has tiebreakers over Texas.  They lost to Iowa State.
-Oklahoma (6-1) has a tiebreakers over Iowa State.  They lost to Texas.
-Texas (5-2) lost to WVU.  They have a tiebreaker over Oklahoma.

-Iowa State (5-2) lost to Oklahoma.  They have a tiebreaker over WVU.

Since WVU and Oklahoma have yet to play, we know one of them will achieve 7 wins.  The loser is still sitting at 6 wins, even if they lose out, which means that both participants in the championship game will need to have 6 or more wins.  This eliminates any team with 4 or more conference losses.  Meanwhile, Texas and Iowa State play each other next week.  The loser is eliminated.

Out of contention:

-Texas Tech (3-4), Baylor (3-4), Oklahoma State (2-5), TCU (2-5), Kansas State (2-5), Kansas (1-6)

Current projection for the Big 12 championship game:  Winner of WVU/Oklahoma vs. WVU/OK loser or Texas/Iowa State winner.

A lot of variables in there, but if I'm reading the tiebreakers right, I'm pretty confident that we are at the point where the winner of WVU/Oklahoma is in the championship game.  Even if the teams both go 1-1 over the next two weeks, I can't find a scenario where a team can win that game but come in third in the conference.

Bowl eligible:  Texas, Oklahoma, WVU, Iowa State
One game away:  Texas Tech, OK State, Baylor
One loss away from nothing:  TCU, Kansas State
No bowl:  Kansas