With LSU and Ohio State flip flopping at #1 and #2, I'm having a hard time keeping Alabama out of the semis based on the current rankings and projections.
Semifinals (Peach and Fiesta):
-LSU (#2) vs. Clemson (#3)
-Ohio State (#1) vs. Alabama (#5)
Two bowls (Sugar with Big 12 and Rose with Pac-12) do not need to find replacements.
Sugar: Georgia (#4, SEC replacement) vs. Oklahoma (#7, Big 12 projected champ)
Rose: Minnesota (#8, Big Ten replacement) vs. Utah (#6, Pac-12 projected champ)
Orange: Virginia Tech (#24, ACC replacement) vs. Penn State (#10, highest ranked non-champ/non-replacement out of SEC/Big Ten/ND)
Cotton: Memphis (#18, G5) vs. Baylor (#9, highest ranked team not already placed)
And now, the week to week comparisons:
| Semi-final #1 | 1 seed | 4 seed |
| Week 10 | #1 Ohio State | #7 Oregon |
| Week 11 | #1 LSU | #6 Oregon |
| Week 12 | #1 LSU | #6 Oregon |
| Week 13 | #1 Ohio State | #5 Alabama |
| Week 14 |
| Semi-final #2 | 2 seed | 3 seed |
| Week 10 | #2 LSU | #5 Clemson |
| Week 11 | #2 Ohio State | #3 Clemson |
| Week 12 | #2 Ohio State | #3 Clemson |
| Week 13 | #2 LSU | #3 Clemson |
| Week 14 |
| Sugar | SEC | Big 12 |
| Week 10 | #3 Alabama | #9 Oklahoma |
| Week 11 | #4 Georgia | #10 Oklahoma |
| Week 12 | #4 Georgia | #10 Oklahoma |
| Week 13 | #4 Georgia | #7 Oklahoma |
| Week 14 |
| Rose | Big Ten | Pac-12 |
| Week 10 | #4 Penn State | #8 Utah |
| Week 11 | #8 Minnesota | #7 Utah |
| Week 12 | #8 Penn State | #7 Utah |
| Week 13 | #8 Minnesota | #6 Utah |
| Week 14 |
| Orange | ACC | SEC/B1G/ND |
| Week 10 | #19 Wake Forest | #6 Georgia |
| Week 11 | NR Wake Forest | #5 Alabama |
| Week 12 | NR Virginia Tech | #5 Alabama |
| Week 13 | #24 Virginia Tech | #10 Penn State |
| Week 14 |
| Cotton | G5 | At-large |
| Week 10 | #20 Cincinnati | #10 Florida |
| Week 11 | #17 Cincinnati | #9 Penn State |
| Week 12 | #18 Memphis | #10 Minnesota |
| Week 13 | #18 Memphis | #9 Baylor |
| Week 14 |
Oregon dropped out of projections, replaced by Baylor.
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