Seems like it was a light week across the board for the Power 5 with a lot of teams on bye. But, we're clearly getting closer, as several teams have found themselves eliminated or on the verge.
ACC Wheel of Destiny
Atlantic
Controls destiny:
-Clemson (6-0) can clinch with a win OR losses by WF and Syracuse.
W: Wake Forest, NC State, BC, FSU, Syracuse
Clemson has tiebreakers over everyone in the division except Louisville (who is already eliminated). Therefore, they would win out in any configuration of ties involving teams at 7-1 or 6-2.
Needs help:
-Syracuse (3-1) will be eliminated with a loss OR Clemson win. They can clinch by winning out and Clemson losing out.
W: Louisville, NC State
L: Clemson
-Wake Forest (2-1) will be eliminated with a loss OR Clemson win. They can clinch by winning out and Clemson losing out.
W: FSU, BC
L: Clemson
The only scenario where Clemson does not win the division is if they lose out and the winner of the Syracuse/Wake Forest game wins out. The winner of that game would be 7-1, and everyone else would have 2 or more losses.
Out of contention:
-NC State (1-2)
-Louisville (2-3)
-Florida State (2-3)
-Boston College (1-4)
With Clemson sitting at 6-0 and their worst possible record being 6-2, any team with 3 or more losses is eliminated. NC State has been eliminated because any multi-team tie they could force would also have to involve Clemson who owns all of the tiebreakers.
Clemson can clinch in week 10 if Syracuse loses that week AND if WF loses in weeks 9 or 10. Otherwise, they can clinch in week 11 with a win.
Coastal
Controls destiny:
-UNC (3-0)
W: VT, Miami, Duke
Needs help:
-Georgia Tech (2-2) needs an additional loss by UNC.
W: Pitt, Duke
L: uva
-Duke (2-2) needs losses by UNC (3) and GT.
W: uva, Miami
L: GT, UNC
-Pitt (1-2) needs a GT loss.
W: VT
L: GT
-Miami (1-2) needs losses by UNC (3) and Duke.
W: VT
L: UNC, Duke
-uva (1-3) needs a loss by Duke and an additional loss by UNC.
W: GT
L: Duke
-Virginia Tech (1-3) needs losses by UNC (4), Pitt (2), and Miami (2).
L: UNC, Pitt, Miami
SEC
East
Controls destiny:
-Georgia (4-0)
W: South Carolina, Missouri, Vandy
-Tennessee (3-0)
W: Florida
Needs help:
-South Carolina (2-2) needs 3 losses by Georgia and an additional loss by Tennessee.
W: Kentucky
L: Georgia
-Kentucky (2-2) needs a loss by South Carolina plus additional losses by Georgia and Tennessee.
W: Florida
L: South Carolina
-Florida (1-3) needs losses by Tennessee (4) and Kentucky (2), plus additional losses by Georgia (2).
W: Missouri
L: Kentucky, Tennessee
-Mizzou (1-3) needs losses by Georgia (4) and Florida, plus additional losses by Tennessee (2).
W: Vanderbilt
L: Georgia, Florida
Just start winning:
-Vanderbilt (0-4)
L: Georgia, Missouri
Georgia and Florida play each other next week. A Georgia win would eliminate Florida and Vanderbilt. That win combined with a Mizzou loss would eliminate Mizzou.
West
Controls destiny:
-Alabama (4-1)
W: Arkansas, Texas A&M, Mississippi State
-LSU (4-1)
W: Mississippi State, Auburn, Ole Miss
Needs help:
-Ole Miss (3-1) needs a loss by LSU.
W: Auburn
L: LSU
-Mississippi State (2-3) needs losses by LSU (3) and Alabama (3), plus an additional loss by Ole Miss.
W: Texas A&M, Arkansas
L: LSU, Alabama
-Texas A&M (1-3) needs losses by Alabama (3) and Miss State, plus additional losses by Ole Miss and LSU.
W: Arkansas
L: Mississippi State, Alabama
-Auburn (1-3) needs losses by LSU (3) and Ole Miss (3), plus an additional loss by Alabama.
L: LSU, Ole Miss
-Arkansas (1-3) needs losses by Alabama (3), Miss State, and Texas A&M, plus additional losses by LSU and Ole Miss.
L: Texas A&M, Alabama, Miss State
Big Ten
East
Controls destiny:
-Michigan (4-0)
W: Maryland, Indiana, PSU
-Ohio State (4-0)
W: Rutgers, Michigan State
Needs help:
-Penn State (3-1) needs 2 Michigan losses.
L: Michigan
-Maryland (3-2) needs 3 Michigan losses plus an additional loss by Ohio State.
W: Michigan State, Indiana
L: Michigan
-Rutgers (1-3) needs 4 Ohio State losses plus additional losses by Michigan (2) and PSU.
W: Indiana
L: Ohio State
Just start winning:
-Michigan State (1-3)
L: Maryland, Ohio State
-Indiana (1-4)
L: Michigan, Maryland, Rutgers
West
Controls destiny:
-Illinois (3-1)
W: Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota
-Purdue (3-2)
W: Minnesota, Nebraska
L: Wisconsin
Needs help:
-Nebraska (2-2) needs a loss by Purdue.
L: Northwestern, Purdue
-Wisconsin (2-3) needs losses by Illinois (3) and Purdue.
W: Northwestern, Purdue
L: Illinois
-Iowa (1-3) needs 3 losses by Illinois.
L: Illinois
-Minnesota (1-3) needs losses by Purdue (2) and Illinois (3).
L: Purdue, Illinois
-Northwestern (1-3) needs losses by Wisconsin and Nebraska, plus additional losses by Illinois.
W: Nebraska
L: Wisconsin
Big 12
-TCU (4-0)
W: Oklahoma, Kansas, Oklahoma State, Kansas State
-Kansas State (3-1)
W: Oklahoma, Texas Tech, Iowa State
L: TCU
-Oklahoma State (3-1)
W: Baylor, Texas Tech, Texas
L: TCU
-Texas (3-2)
W: WVU, Oklahoma, Iowa State
L: Texas Tech, Oklahoma State
-Baylor (2-2)
W: Iowa State, Kansas
L: Oklahoma State, WVU
-Texas Tech (2-2)
W: Texas, WVU
L: Kansas State, OK State
-Kansas (2-3)
W: WVU, Iowa State
L: TCU, Oklahoma, Baylor
-West Virginia (1-3)
W: Baylor
L: Kansas, Texas, Texas Tech
-Oklahoma (1-3)
W: Kansas
L: Kansas State, TCU, Texas
-Iowa State (0-4)
L: Baylor, Kansas, Kansas State, Texas
Pac-12
-Oregon (4-0)
W: Washington State, Stanford, Arizona, UCLA
-USC (4-1)
W: Stanford, Oregon State, Arizona State, Washington State
L: Utah
-UCLA (3-1)
W: Colorado, Washington, Utah
L: Oregon
-Utah (3-1)
W: Arizona State, Oregon State, USC
L: UCLA
-Washington (3-2)
W: Stanford, Arizona, Cal
L: UCLA, Arizona State
-Oregon State (3-2)
W: Stanford, Washington State, Colorado
L: USC, Utah
-Cal (1-3)
W: Arizona
L: Washington State, Colorado, Washington
-Arizona (1-3)
W: Colorado
L: Cal, Oregon, Washington
-Arizona State (1-3)
W: Washington
L: Utah, USC, Stanford
-Washington State (1-3)
W: Cal
L: Oregon, USC, Oregon State
-Colorado (1-3)
W: Cal
L: UCLA, Arizona, Oregon State
-Stanford (1-4)
W: Arizona State
L: USC, Washington, Oregon, Oregon State
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