Sunday, September 21, 2014

Week 4 wrap up

We finally get a decent slate of conference games, and the SEC goes into upset mode.

(Unless otherwise stated, all records indicate conference record only.)

This early in the season, no team has played more than 2 conference games, so we're far away from determine who can win a division or conference.  Instead, we're only able to keep track of who controls their own destiny.  Keep in mind that any team that has a cross-divisional loss can still run the table in their own division, and would therefore own any head-to-head tiebreakers.

The ACC Wheel of Destiny started spinning on both sides today.

Atlantic
-Florida State (1-0) still controls their destiny, with a tiebreaker over Clemson.
-Louisville (1-1) and Boston College (0-1) also control their destiny, since their losses come from the other division.
-Clemson (0-1) needs two FSU losses.

Coastal
-Georgia Tech (1-0) has a tiebreaker over VT.
-Pitt and UVA (both 1-0) control their destiny, but both wins are over Atlantic opponents.
-Miami (0-1) also controls their destiny, due to a cross-divisional loss.
-Virginia Tech (0-1) needs 2 GT losses.

The SEC almost started spinning their own wheel, of upsets.

East
-South Carolina (2-1) dodged a bullet, and now own tiebreakers over Georgia and Vanderbilt.  Their loss is cross-divisional.
-Florida (1-1) still controls their destiny, due to a cross-divisional loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Kentucky.
-Georgia (0-1) needs 2 SC losses.
-Kentucky (0-1) needs 2 Florida losses.
-Vanderbilt (0-2) needs 2 SC losses, plus an additional loss by both Missouri and Tennessee (both 0-0 in conference).  In this scenario (assuming Vandy wins out), SC would have 3 losses and all of the other teams would have 2 losses, with Vandy having the tiebreakers over everyone else.  Obviously, this would require a lot of lucky breaks and an ACC-like season for the SEC.

West
-Texas A&M, Alabama, and Ole Miss are all 1-0 with cross-divisional wins.
-Mississippi State (1-0) owns a tiebreaker against LSU.
-Auburn (1-0) owns a tiebreaker over Arkansas.
-Arkansas (0-1) needs two Auburn losses.
-LSU (0-1) needs two Mississippi State losses.

The B1G still only has had one conference game, with Penn State winning over East rival Rutgers.

The Big 12 is also slow to get started.  Oklahoma has a tiebreaker over West Virginia, and Kansas State has a tiebreaker over Iowa State.

Both of those conferences should be close to 100% conference mode next week.

Pac-12

North
-Oregon (1-0) is leading the division with a tiebreaker against Washington State.
-California and Stanford (both 0-1) have cross-divisional losses.
-Washington State (0-1) needs 2 Oregon losses.

South
-Arizona (1-0) and USC (1-0) have cross-divisional wins.
-Arizona State (1-0) has a tiebreaker over Colorado.
-Colorado (0-1) needs 2 Arizona State losses.

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