Week 8 wrap up

They said on Gameday that the weeks that look the weakest on paper, and when Gameday goes to FCS schools, are the weeks that things tend to break open.

We already have multiple teams officially out of contention in the conference races.

As usual, I'm only referring to conference records in this post.  If the number of games does not match the list of teams, then the extra number is a cross divisional game.

We're bringing back the magic number.  That is determined by taking the team with the most wins in a division and adding the number of remaining games to their loss column, and then adding one.  Any team that has the magic number or higher in the loss column is automatically out.

ACC Wheel of Destiny

Atlantic
Magic number:  4
(Based on records, it should be 5, but since Clemson and FSU have yet to play each other, we know one of those teams will get at least 5 wins.)

Controls destiny:
-Clemson (4-0) has tiebreakers over Louisville and Boston College.
-Florida State (4-1) has tiebreakers over Boston College, Wake Forest, and Louisville.

Needs help:
-Syracuse (1-2) needs a Clemson loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Wake Forest.
-Louisville (2-2) needs three Clemson losses, but has a tiebreaker over NC State and Boston College.
-NC State (1-2) needs a Clemson loss and a Louisville loss.

Out of contention:
-Boston College (0-5) and Wake Forest (1-4).

Coastal
Magic number:  5

Controls destiny:
-Pitt (4-0) has tiebreakers over Virginia Tech, UVA, and Georgia Tech.
-Duke (3-0) has a tiebreaker over Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech.
-UNC (3-0) has a tiebreaker over Georgia Tech and UVA.

Needs help:
-Miami (1-2) needs a loss each from Pitt, Duke, and UNC.  They have a tiebreaker over Virginia Tech.
-UVA (1-2) needs three Pitt losses, three UNC losses, and two Duke losses.
-Virginia Tech (1-3) needs four Pitt losses, four Duke losses, two Miami losses, plus an two additional UNC losses.

Facing elimination:
-Georgia Tech (1-4) needs Pitt, Duke, and UNC to all lose out, plus additional losses from Miami and UVA.

Bowl eligible:  FSU, Clemson, Duke, Pitt
One win away:  NC State, UNC (has 6 wins, but 2 FCS teams)

SEC

East
Magic number:  5

Controls destiny:
-Florida (4-1) has tiebreakers over Kentucky, Tennessee, and Missouri.
-Georgia (3-2) has tiebreakers over Vanderbilt, South Carolina, and Missouri, but lost to Tennessee.

Needs help:
-Kentucky (2-3) needs three Florida losses.  They have tiebreakers over South Carolina and Missouri.
-Missouri (1-4) needs a Kentucky loss and two Florida losses.  They have a tiebreaker over South Carolina.
-Tennessee (1-3) needs two Florida losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Georgia.
-Vanderbilt (1-3) needs two Georgia losses and one Florida loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Missouri.

Just start winning:
-South Carolina (1-4) lost to Georgia and Kentucky.  They will be eliminated with a loss or a Florida win.

West
Magic number:  5

Controls destiny:
-LSU (4-0) has tiebreakers over Auburn and Mississippi State.
-Ole Miss (3-1) has a tiebreaker over Alabama.

Needs help:
-Alabama (4-1) needs an Ole Miss loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Arkansas and Texas A&M.
-Texas A&M (2-2) needs an Alabama loss.  They have tiebreakers over Arkansas and Mississippi State.
-Mississippi State (2-2) needs three LSU losses and a Texas A&M loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Auburn.
-Arkansas (2-2) needs a Texas A&M loss and two Alabama losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Auburn.
-Auburn (1-3) needs 4 LSU losses, 2 Arkansas losses, 2 Mississippi State losses, plus an additional loss each from Ole Miss and Alabama.

Bowl eligible:  Florida, LSU, Alabama, Ole Miss, Mississippi State
One win away:  Texas A&M, Georgia

B1G

East
Magic number:  4
(Since OSU and MSU have yet to play, one is guaranteed a fifth win.)

Controls destiny:
-Ohio State (4-0) has tiebreakers over Rutgers, Indiana, and Maryland.
-Michigan State (4-0) has tiebreakers over Indiana, Rutgers, and Michigan.

Needs help:
-Michigan (2-1) needs two MSU losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Maryland.
-Penn State (3-1) needs two OSU losses.  They have tiebreakers over Rutgers and Indiana.

Out of control:
-Rutgers (1-3) cannot regain control of their destiny.  Since they lost to OSU and MSU, they need both teams to lose out to have a better record, which is impossible since those teams play each other later on.  They lost to PSU, OSU, and MSU.  They have a tiebreaker over Indiana.

-Maryland (0-3) lost to Penn State, Michigan, and Ohio State.   They will be eliminated with a loss, or with a win from both OSU and MSU.

Out of contention:
-Indiana (0-4)

West
Magic number:  6

Controls destiny:
-Iowa (3-0) has tiebreakers over Wisconsin, Illinois, and Northwestern.

Needs help:
-Wisconsin (3-1) needs two Iowa losses.  They have tiebreakers over Illinois, Nebraska, and Purdue.
-Northwestern (2-2) needs three Iowa losses.  They have tiebreakers over Minnesota and Nebraska.
-Illinois (1-2) needs three Iowa losses and two Wisconsin losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Nebraska.
-Nebraska (1-3) needs three Wisconsin losses, two Illinois losses, two Northwestern losses, and 2 additional losses from Iowa.  They have a tiebreaker over Minnesota.
-Minnesota (1-2) needs a Northwestern loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Purdue.

Just start winning:
-Purdue (0-3) lost to Minnesota and Wisconsin.

Bowl eligible:  Ohio State, Iowa, Michigan State, Penn State, Wisconsin, Northwestern
One win away:  Michigan

Pac-12

North
Magic number:  5
(Pac-12 has 9 conference games)

Controls destiny:
-Stanford (5-0) has tiebreakers over Oregon State and Washington.
-Washington State (3-1) has tiebreakers over Oregon and Oregon State, but lost to Cal.

Needs help:
-Cal (2-2) needs a Stanford and Washington State loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Washington.
-Oregon (2-2) needs two Washington State losses, plus an additional loss by Stanford.  They have a tiebreaker over Washington.
-Washington (1-3) needs three Cal losses, and one Oregon loss, plus additional losses from Stanford and Washington State.

Just start winning:
-Oregon State (0-4) lost to Stanford and Washington State.

South
Magic number:  7

Controls destiny:
-Utah (3-1) has a tiebreaker over Arizona State.  They lost to USC.

Needs help:
-USC (2-2) needs a Utah loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Arizona State.
-Arizona State (2-2) needs a USC loss and two Utah losses.  They have tiebreakers over UCLA and Colorado.

-UCLA (2-2) needs an Arizona State loss and an additional Utah loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Arizona.

-Arizona (2-3) needs a UCLA loss and an 2 additional Utah losses.

Just start winning:
-Colorado (1-3) lost to Arizona State and Arizona.

Bowl eligible:  Utah, Stanford
One win away:  Cal, Arizona, Washington State, UCLA

Big 12
Magic number: 5
(The three undefeated teams have yet to play each other, so at least one of them will get a fifth win.  Also, the Big 12 has 9 conference games.)

Controls destiny:
-TCU (4-0) has tiebreakers over Texas Tech, Texas, Kansas State, and Iowa State.
-Oklahoma State (4-0) has tiebreakers over Kansas, Texas, Kansas State, and West Virginia.
-Baylor (4-0) has tiebreakers over Iowa State, West Virginia, Texas Tech and Kansas.
-Oklahoma (3-1) has a tiebreaker over Texas Tech, West Virginia and Kansas State.  They lost to Texas, who is still behind them in the standings.

Needs help:
-Texas (2-2) needs three losses each from Oklahoma State and TCU.  They have tiebreakers over Oklahoma and Kansas State.
-Texas Tech (2-3) needs four losses each from TCU and Baylor and three Oklahoma losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Iowa State and Kansas.

-Iowa State (1-3) needs four TCU losses, a Texas Tech loss, and 2 additional losses from Ok State and Baylor.  They have a tiebreaker over Kansas.

Just start winning:
-Kansas State (0-4) lost to Texas, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, and TCU.
-West Virginia (0-3) lost to Baylor, Oklahoma, and Oklahoma State.
-Kansas (0-4) lost to Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, Iowa State, and Baylor.

Bowl eligible:  TCU, Oklahoma State, Baylor, Oklahoma
One win away:  Texas Tech
Not bowl eligible:  Kansas