Monday, October 8, 2018

Week 6 wrap up

We have 5 bowl eligible teams from the Power 5!

Remember, all records listed here are just conference records.

ACC
Atlantic
Controls destiny:
-Clemson (3-0) has tiebreakers over Syracuse and Wake Forest.
-NC State (2-0) has a tiebreaker over BC.

Needs help:
-Boston College (1-1) needs two NC State losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Wake Forest.
-Syracuse (1-2) needs three Clemson losses, plus an additional NC State loss.  They have a tiebreaker over FSU.
-FSU (1-3) needs two Syracuse losses, plus additional losses by Clemson, BC, and NC State.  They have a tiebreaker over Louisville.

Just start winning:
-Wake Forest (0-2) lost to Boston College and Clemson.
-Louisville (0-3) lost to FSU.

Coastal
Controls destiny:
-VT (2-0) has a tiebreaker over Duke.
-Miami (2-0) has a tiebreaker over UNC.
-UVA (1-1) has only played cross-divisional games.

Needs help:
-UNC (1-1) needs two Miami losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Pitt.
-Pitt (2-1) needs one UNC loss.  They have a tiebreaker over GT.
-Duke (0-1) needs two VT losses.

Just start winning:
-GT (1-2) lost to Pitt.

Bowl eligible:  Clemson, Notre Dame
One game away:  NC State, Miami

Yes, I know Notre Dame isn't a full ACC member, but if they don't make the NY6, they will take an ACC bowl slot.

SEC
East
Controls destiny:
-Georgia (4-0) has tiebreakers over South Carolina, Missouri, Tennessee, and Vandy.
-Kentucky (3-1) has tiebreakers over Florida and South Carolina.  Their loss is cross-divisional.

Needs help:
-Florida (3-1) needs a Kentucky loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Tennessee.
-South Carolina (2-2) needs three Georgia losses and two Kentucky losses.  They have tiebreakers over Vanderbilt and Missouri.
-Vanderbilt (0-2) needs three Georgia losses and one USCe loss.

Just start winning:
-Tennessee (0-2) lost to Florida and Georgia.
-Missouri (0-2) lost to USCe and Georgia.

West
Controls destiny:
-Alabama (3-0) has a tiebreaker over Texas A&M and Arkansas.
-LSU (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Auburn.  Their loss is cross-divisional.

Needs help:
-Mississippi State (1-2) needs an additional loss by Alabama.  They have a tiebreaker over Auburn.
-Auburn (1-2) needs two LSU losses, a Mississippi State loss, and an additional loss by Alabama.  They have a tiebreaker over Arkansas.
-Texas A&M (2-1) needs two Alabama losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Arkansas.

Just start winning
-Arkansas (0-3) lost to Texas A&M, Auburn, and Alabama.

Out of contention:
-Ole Miss (0-2) got caught cheating.  Still paying for it.

Bowl eligible:  Georgia, Alabama
One game away:  Kentucky, LSU, Florida
No bowl:  Ole Miss

Big Ten
East
Controls destiny:
-Ohio State (3-0) has tiebreakers over Rutgers, Penn State, and Indiana.
-Michigan State (1-1) has a tiebreaker over Indiana.
-Michigan (3-0) has a tiebreaker over Maryland.

Needs help:
-Maryland (1-1) needs two Michigan losses.
-Penn State (1-1) needs two OSU losses.
-Indiana (1-2) needs three OSU losses and two MSU losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Rutgers.

Just start winning:
-Rutgers (0-3) lost to OSU and Indiana.

West
Controls destiny:
-Wisconsin (2-0) has tiebreakers over Iowa and Nebraska.
-Northwestern (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Purdue.
-Illinois (1-1) only has cross-divisional games.

Needs help:
-Purdue (1-1) needs a Northwestern loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Nebraska.
-Iowa (1-1) needs two Wisconsin losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Minnesota.

Just start winning:
-Minnesota (0-2) has cross-divisional losses.
-Nebraska (0-3) lost to Purdue and Wisconsin.

Bowl eligible:  Ohio State
One game away:  Michigan

Pac-12
North
Controls destiny:
-Washington (3-0) has cross-divisional wins.
-Stanford (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Oregon.
-Washington State (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Oregon State.

Needs help:
-Oregon (1-1) needs a Stanford loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Cal.
-Cal (0-2) needs an Oregon loss.

Just start winning:
-Oregon State (0-3) lost to Washington State.

South
Controls destiny:
-Colorado (2-0) has tiebreakers against UCLA and Arizona State.
-USC (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Arizona.

Needs help:
-Arizona (2-1) needs a USC loss.
-Arizona State (1-2) needs two Colorado losses.
-Utah (1-2) needs an additional Colorado loss.

Just start winning:
-UCLA (0-2) lost to Colorado.

Bowl eligible:  none
One game away:  Washington, Washington State, Colorado

Big 12
Controls destiny:
-WVU (3-0) has tiebreakers over Kansas, Kansas State, and Texas Tech.
-Texas (3-0) has tiebreakers over Oklahoma, TCU, and K-State.

Needs help:
-Oklahoma (2-1) needs two Texas losses.  They have tiebreakers over Iowa State and Baylor.
-Baylor (2-1) needs an Oklahoma loss.  They have tiebreakers over Kansas and K-State.
-Texas Tech (1-1) needs two WVU losses.  They have a tiebreaker over OK State.
-TCU (1-1) needs two Texas losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Iowa State.
-Iowa State (1-2) needs two Oklahoma losses, two TCU losses, plus additional losses by WVU and Texas.  They have a tiebreaker over OK State.
-Oklahoma State (1-2) needs a Texas Tech loss, plus additional losses by WVU and Texas.  They have a tiebreaker over Kansas.

Just start winning:
-Kansas State (0-3) lost to Baylor, WVU, and Texas.
-Kansas (0-3) lost to WVU, Baylor, and OK State.

These criteria are based on obtaining the #1 seed for the Big 12, so one of these teams might be able to get into the game even without all of the selected criteria happening.

Current projection for the Big 12 championship game:  WVU vs. Texas.

Bowl eligible:  none
One game away:  Oklahoma, Texas, WVU

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