Week 7 wrap up

How are we already halfway through the season already?  Just as we start getting to the majority of the bye weeks, we have a weekend of chaos that was just slightly below 2007 standards.

We're getting close to a few teams finally getting eliminated, but we can't quite pull the trigger.

Remember, all records listed here are just conference records.

ACC
Atlantic
Controls destiny:
-Clemson (3-0) has tiebreakers over Syracuse and Wake Forest.
-NC State (2-0) has a tiebreaker over BC.

(These two play each other next week.)

Needs help:
-Boston College (2-1) needs two NC State losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Wake Forest.
-Syracuse (1-2) needs three Clemson losses, plus an additional NC State loss.  They have a tiebreaker over FSU.
-FSU (1-3) needs two Syracuse losses, plus additional losses by Clemson, BC, and NC State.  They have a tiebreaker over Louisville.

Just start winning:
-Wake Forest (0-2) lost to Boston College and Clemson.
-Louisville (0-4) lost to FSU and BC.

Coastal
Controls destiny:
-VT (3-0) has a tiebreakers over Duke and UNC.
-UVA (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Miami.
-Pitt (2-1) has a tiebreaker over GT.  Their loss is to UNC, who is behind them in the standings.

Needs help:
-Miami (2-1) needs a UVA loss.  They have a tiebreaker over UNC.
-Duke (1-1) needs two VT losses.  They have a tiebreaker over GT.
-UNC (1-2) needs three VT losses and two Miami losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Pitt.

Just start winning:
-GT (1-3) lost to Pitt and Duke.

Bowl eligible:  Clemson, Notre Dame
One game away:  NC State, Miami, BC, Duke

Yes, I know Notre Dame isn't a full ACC member, but if they don't make the NY6, they will take an ACC bowl slot.

SEC
East
Controls destiny:
-Georgia (4-1) has tiebreakers over South Carolina, Missouri, Tennessee, and Vandy.  Their loss is cross-divisional.
-Kentucky (3-1) has tiebreakers over Florida and South Carolina.  Their loss is cross-divisional.

Needs help:
-Florida (4-1) needs a Kentucky loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Tennessee and Vandy.
-South Carolina (2-3) needs three Georgia losses and three Kentucky losses.  They have tiebreakers over Vanderbilt and Missouri.

Just start winning:
-Tennessee (0-2) lost to Florida and Georgia.
-Missouri (0-3) lost to USCe and Georgia.
-Vanderbilt (0-3) lost to Georgia, USCe, and Florida.

West
Controls destiny:

-Alabama (4-0) has a tiebreaker over Texas A&M and Arkansas.

-LSU (3-1) has a tiebreaker over Auburn.  Their loss is cross-divisional.

Needs help:

-Texas A&M (3-1) needs two Alabama losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Arkansas.
-Mississippi State (1-2) needs an additional loss by Alabama.  They have a tiebreaker over Auburn.
-Auburn (1-2) needs two LSU losses, a Mississippi State loss, and an additional loss by Alabama.  They have a tiebreaker over Arkansas.

Almost out:
-Arkansas (0-4) lost to Texas A&M, Auburn, and Alabama.  Technically, they could still have a chance in a 3+ team tie at 4-4 (which would have to involve Alabama).  A loss or Alabama win will definitely knock them out of contention.

Out of contention:

-Ole Miss (1-2) got caught cheating.  Still paying for it.

Bowl eligible:  Georgia, Alabama, Florida, LSU
One game away:  Kentucky, Texas A&M
One loss away from nothing:  Arkansas
No bowl:  Ole Miss

Big Ten
East
Controls destiny:
-Ohio State (4-0) has tiebreakers over Rutgers, Penn State, and Indiana.
-Michigan State (2-1) has tiebreakers over Indiana and Penn State.
-Michigan (4-0) has a tiebreaker over Maryland.

Needs help:
-Maryland (2-1) needs two Michigan losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Rutgers.
-Penn State (1-2) needs two OSU losses.
-Indiana (1-3) needs three OSU losses and two MSU losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Rutgers.

Just start winning:
-Rutgers (0-4) lost to OSU, Indiana, and Maryland.

West
Controls destiny:
-Wisconsin (2-1) has tiebreakers over Iowa and Nebraska.
-Northwestern (3-1) has a tiebreaker over Purdue and Nebraska.

Needs help:
-Purdue (2-1) needs a Northwestern loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Nebraska and Illinois.
-Iowa (2-1) needs two Wisconsin losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Minnesota.
-Illinois (1-2) needs two Purdue losses.

Just start winning:
-Minnesota (0-3) has cross-divisional losses.
-Nebraska (0-4) lost to Northwestern, Purdue, and Wisconsin.

Bowl eligible:  Ohio State, Michigan
One game away:  Iowa
One loss away from nothing:  Nebraska, Rutgers

Pac-12
North
Controls destiny:
-Stanford (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Oregon.
-Washington State (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Oregon State.

Needs help:
-Oregon (2-1) needs a Stanford loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Cal and Washington.
-Washington (3-1) needs an Oregon loss.
-Cal (0-3) needs an Oregon loss.

Just start winning:
-Oregon State (0-3) lost to Washington State.

South
Controls destiny:
-USC (3-1) has tiebreakers over Arizona and Colorado.
-Utah (2-2) has a tiebreaker over Arizona.

Needs help:
-Colorado (2-1) needs a USC loss.  They have tiebreakers against UCLA and Arizona State.
-Arizona (2-2) needs a USC loss and a Utah loss.
-Arizona State (1-2) needs two Colorado losses.
-UCLA (1-2) needs two Colorado losses.

It looks like USC at Utah this week is a very interesting matchup.  If Utah wins, that would put them and Colorado back into the driver's seat of the Pac-12 South (assuming Colorado wins their game against Washington).  Poor Arizona doesn't care who wins this matchup, because either way, they can only get half of what they need for control back.

Bowl eligible:  none
One game away:  Washington, Washington State, Colorado, Oregon

Big 12
Controls destiny:
-Texas (4-0) has tiebreakers over Oklahoma, TCU, Baylor, and K-State.
-WVU (3-1) has tiebreakers over Kansas, Kansas State, and Texas Tech.  They lost to Iowa State.

Needs help:
-Texas Tech (2-1) needs a WVU loss.  They have tiebreakers over OK State and TCU.
-Oklahoma (2-1) needs two Texas losses.  They have tiebreakers over Iowa State and Baylor.
-Baylor (2-2) needs two Oklahoma losses and three Texas losses.  They have tiebreakers over Kansas and K-State.
-TCU (1-2) needs three Texas losses and two Texas Tech losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Iowa State.
-Iowa State (2-2) needs two Oklahoma losses, two TCU losses, plus additional losses by WVU and Texas.  They have tiebreakers over OK State and WVU.

Probably out soon:
-Kansas State (1-3) lost to Baylor, WVU, and Texas.  They have a tiebreaker over OK State.
-Oklahoma State (1-3) lost to Texas Tech, K-State, and Iowa State.  They have a tiebreaker over Kansas.

Just start winning:
-Kansas (0-3) lost to WVU, Baylor, and OK State.

These criteria are based on obtaining the #1 seed for the Big 12, so one of these teams might be able to get into the game even without all of the selected criteria happening.

Current projection for the Big 12 championship game:  Texas vs. WVU/Oklahoma winner.

While Texas is the clear #1 seed in the Big 12, #2 is a toss up between WVU, Texas Tech, and Oklahoma.  Since Texas Tech already lost to WVU, I figure they're most likely out, and it will come down to the Black Friday WVU/Oklahoma game.

Bowl eligible:  Texas
One game away:  Oklahoma, WVU