Sunday, October 3, 2021

2021 Week 5 wrap-up

This season is getting crazy, y'all.  We're not quite at 2007 levels, but it might be getting close.  Or we have the usual ACC cycle of play infecting the entire college football landscape.  We'll start tracking bowl eligibility next week.

Reminder that the conference races only count conference games.

ACC Wheel of Destiny

In true ACC fashion, we have 3 teams that started conference play off with a loss but still control their own destiny due to having fewer losses than the team that beat them.  But what's even crazier is that VT still needs to fire Brad Cornelson.

Atlantic
Controls destiny:
-Wake Forest (3-0) has tiebreakers over Louisville and FSU.
-NC State (1-0) has a tiebreaker over Clemson.
-Syracuse (0-1) lost to FSU.

Needs help:
-Clemson (2-1) needs two NC State losses. They have a tiebreaker over BC.
-Louisville (1-1) needs 2 losses by WF. They have a tiebreaker over FSU.
-BC (0-1) needs a Clemson loss.
-FSU (1-2) needs losses by WF (3), Louisville (2), and Syracuse, plus an additional loss by NC State.  They have a tiebreaker over Syracuse.

Coastal
Controls destiny:
-VT (1-0) has a tiebreaker over UNC.
-Pitt (1-0) has a tiebreaker over GT.
-Duke (0-1) lost to UNC.
-Miami (0-1) lost to uva.

Needs help:
-GT (1-2) needs 3 Pitt losses and an additional VT loss. They have a tiebreaker over UNC.
-UNC (2-2) needs losses by VT (3) and GT (2), plus additional losses by Duke, Pitt, and Miami. They have tiebreakers over Duke and uva.
-uva (1-2) needs losses by UNC and Miami, plus additional losses by VT and Pitt. They have a tiebreaker over Miami.

SEC

East
Controls destiny:
-Georgia (3-0) has tiebreakers over SC and Vandy.
-Kentucky (2-0) has tiebreakers over Mizzou and Florida.
-Tennessee (1-1) has a tiebreaker over Mizzou.  They lost to Florida.

Needs help:
-SC (0-1) needs two UGA losses.
-Vandy (0-1) needs two UGA losses.
-Florida (1-2) needs 3 Kentucky losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Tennessee.
-Mizzou (0-2) needs losses by Kentucky (3) and Tennessee (2).

West
Controls destiny:
-Alabama (2-0) has a tiebreaker over Ole Miss.
-Auburn (1-0) has a tiebreaker over LSU.
-Arkansas (1-1) has a tiebreaker over Texas A&M.

Needs help:
-LSU (1-1) needs two Auburn losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Mississippi State.
-Mississippi State (1-1) needs two LSU losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Texas A&M.
-Ole Miss (0-1) needs two Alabama losses.
-Texas A&M (0-2) needs losses by Arkansas (2) and Mississippi State (2).

Big Ten (B1G)
East
Controls destiny:
-PSU (2-0) has a tiebreaker over Indiana.
-Ohio State (2-0) has a tiebreaker over Rutgers.
-Michigan (2-0) has a tiebreaker over Rutgers.
-Michigan State (2-0) has cross-divisional wins.
-Maryland (1-1) has only played cross-divisional games.

Needs help:
-Rutgers (0-2) needs 3 Michigan losses, plus additional losses by PSU, OSU, and MSU.
-Indiana (0-2) needs 3 PSU losses, plus additional losses by OSU, Michigan, and MSU.

West
Controls destiny:
-Iowa (2-0) has cross-divisional wins.
-Minnesota (1-1) has a tiebreaker over Purdue.
-Purdue (1-1) has a tiebreaker over Illinois.

Needs help:
-Illinois (1-2) needs two losses by Purdue, plus and additional loss by Iowa.  They have a tiebreaker over Nebraska.
-Nebraska (1-2) needs an Illinois loss, plus additional losses by Purdue and Iowa.  They have a tiebreaker over Northwestern.
-Northwestern (0-2) needs a Nebraska loss, plus an additional loss by Iowa.
-Wisconsin (0-2) needs an additional loss by Iowa.

Pac-12
North
Controls destiny:
-Oregon State (2-0) has a tiebreaker over Washington.
-Stanford (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Oregon.

Needs help:
-Oregon (1-1) needs a Stanford loss.
-Washington (1-1) needs 2 Oregon State losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Cal.
-Washington State (1-2) needs an additional loss by Oregon State.  They have a tiebreaker over Cal.
-Cal (0-2) needs losses by Washington (2) and Washington State.

South
Controls destiny:
-Arizona State (2-0) has tiebreakers over Colorado and UCLA.
-Utah (1-0) has a cross-divisional win.
-Arizona (0-1) has a cross-divisional loss.

Needs help:
-UCLA (1-1) needs 2 Arizona State losses.
-USC (2-2) needs additional losses by Az State and Utah.  They have a tiebreaker over Colorado.
-Colorado (0-2) needs losses by Az State (3) and USC, plus an additional loss by Utah.

Big 12
-Oklahoma (2-0) has tiebreakers over WVU and K-State.
-Oklahoma State (2-0) has tiebreakers over K-State and Baylor.
-Texas (2-0) has tiebreakers over Texas Tech and TCU.
-Baylor (2-1) has tiebreakers over Kansas and Iowa State.
-Iowa State (1-1) has a tiebreaker over Kansas, but lost to Baylor.
-Texas Tech (1-1) has a tiebreaker over WVU, but lost to Texas.
-TCU (0-1) lost to Texas.
-Kansas (0-2) lost to Baylor and Iowa State.
-WVU (0-2) lost to Oklahoma and Texas Tech.
-Kansas State (0-2) lost to Oklahoma and Oklahoma State.

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