We've already got the first team eliminated from conference contention! And we could have the first division wrapped up by Halloween. Virginia Tech needs to fire Brad Cornelsen.
Reminder that the conference races only count conference games. Tiebreaker info is under each team, separated into wins (W) and losses (L).
ACC Wheel of Destiny
Atlantic
Controls destiny:
-Wake Forest (4-0)
W: Louisville, FSU, Syracuse
-NC State (2-1)
W: Clemson, BC
Needs help:
-Clemson (3-2) needs two NC State losses plus an additional loss by WF.
W: BC, Syracuse
L: NC State
-Louisville (2-2) needs 3 losses by WF.
W: FSU, BC
L: WF
-FSU (2-2) needs losses by WF (3), Louisville, plus an additional loss by NC State.
W: Syracuse
L: WF, Louisville
-BC (0-3) needs losses by NC State (2) and Clemson (2), plus additional losses by WF (2).
L: Clemson, NC State, Louisville
-Syracuse (1-3) needs losses by WF (4), FSU (2), and Clemson (2), plus an additional loss by NC State.
L: WF, FSU, Clemson
Coastal
Controls destiny:
-Pitt (3-0)
W: GT, VT
Needs help:
-uva (4-2) needs an additional Pitt loss.
W: Miami, Duke, GT
L: UNC
-Miami (1-2) needs a uva loss plus an additional Pitt loss.
L: uva, UNC
-VT (1-2) needs 3 Pitt losses.
W: UNC
L: Pitt
-GT (2-3) needs losses by Pitt (4) and uva (2).
W: UNC, Duke
L: Pitt, uva
-UNC (3-3) needs losses by VT (2), GT, Miami, and uva, plus additional losses by Pitt (2).
W: Duke, uva, Miami
L: VT, GT
-Duke (0-3) needs 2 GT losses, plus additional losses by VT and Pitt (2).
L: GT, UNC, uva
Bowl eligible: WF, Pitt, uva
1 win away: NC State
SEC
East
Controls destiny:
-Georgia (5-0) can clinch with a win AND a Kentucky loss.
W: SC, Vandy, Kentucky
Needs help:
-Kentucky (3-1) needs 2 Georgia losses. They will be eliminated with a loss AND a Georgia win.
W: Mizzou, Florida
L: Georgia
-Tennessee (2-3) needs Georgia to lose out.
W: Mizzou, SC
L: Florida
-Florida (2-3) needs losses by Kentucky (3), plus additional Georgia losses (2). They will be eliminated if they lose to Georgia in Week 9.
W: Tennessee, Vandy
L: Kentucky
-Mizzou (0-3) needs losses by Kentucky (3) and Tennessee (2). They will be eliminated with a loss OR Georgia win.
L: Kentucky, Tennessee
Out of control:
-SC (1-3) would need to force a multi-team tie with Georgia and other teams at 5-3.
W: Vandy
L: Georgia, Tennessee
Out of contention:
-Vandy (0-4)
Any of the 3-loss teams will be eliminated with a loss OR Georgia win. (For Florida, that would be the same thing as they play each other.)
West
Controls destiny:
-Alabama (4-1)
W: Ole Miss, Mississippi State
L: Texas A&M
-Auburn (2-1)
W: LSU, Arkansas
Needs help:
-Ole Miss (3-1) needs a loss by Alabama.
W: Arkansas
L: Alabama
-Mississippi State (2-2) needs losses by Alabama (2).
W: Texas A&M
L: LSU, Alabama
-Texas A&M (3-2) needs losses by Mississippi State and Alabama.
W: Alabama
L: Arkansas, Miss State
-LSU (2-3) needs losses by Auburn (3) and Miss State, plus additional losses by Alabama (2) and Ole Miss.
W: Miss State
L: Auburn
-Arkansas (1-3) needs losses by Ole Miss (3), Auburn (3), and Texas A&M, plus an additional loss by Alabama.
W: Texas A&M
L: Ole Miss, Auburn
Bowl eligible: Georgia, Kentucky, Alabama, Ole Miss, Texas A&M
1 win away: Auburn, Arkansas
1 loss away: Vandy
Big Ten (B1G)
East
Controls destiny:
-Ohio State (4-0)
W: Rutgers, Maryland, Indiana
-Michigan (4-0)
W: Rutgers
-Michigan State (4-0)
W: Rutgers, Indiana
-Penn State (2-2)
W: Indiana
Needs help:
-Maryland (1-3) needs losses by Ohio State (4) plus additional losses by Michigan (2) and Michigan State (2).
L: OSU
Out of control:
-Indiana (0-4) is likely already out, as they would need to force a multi-team tie at 5-4, which is highly unlikely since the three 4-0 teams have yet to play. Besides, they have already lost to two of those teams. They will be fully mathematically eliminated with a loss OR a win by OSU or MSU.
L: PSU, MSU, OSU
-Rutgers (0-4) is probably out as well, since they are on the wrong side of tiebreakers with the current 4-0 teams. Still, it's too early to run through all sorts of projections when they will likely take care of it themselves next week. They will be fully mathematically eliminated with a loss OR a win by OSU. (Even if Rutgers wins, the winner of Michigan/MSU plus OSU with a win over PSU would both be at 5-0 and yet to play each other, meaning that one of those three teams would be guaranteed to get to 6 wins.)
L: OSU, Michigan, Michigan State
West
Controls destiny:
-Minnesota (3-1)
W: Purdue, Nebraska
-Iowa (3-1)
L: Purdue
-Wisconsin (2-2)
W: Illinois, Purdue
Needs help:
-Purdue (2-2) needs losses by Minnesota (2), Wisconsin, and Iowa.
W: Illinois, Iowa
L: Minnesota, Wisconsin
-Illinois (2-2) needs losses by Purdue and Wisconsin.
W: Nebraska
L: Purdue, Wisconsin
-Northwestern (1-3) needs additional losses by Iowa and Minnesota.
L: Nebraska
-Nebraska (1-4) needs losses by Illinois (3), Minnesota (4), and Northwestern, plus additional losses by Iowa (2), Purdue, and Wisconsin.
W: Northwestern
L: Illinois, Minnesota
Bowl eligible: MSU, Michigan, Iowa, OSU
1 win away: PSU, Minnesota
Pac-12
North
Controls destiny:
-Oregon State (3-1)
W: Washington
L: Washington State
-Oregon (3-1)
W: Cal
L: Stanford
Needs help:
-Washington (2-2) needs a loss by Oregon State.
W: Cal
L: Oregon State
-Washington State (3-2) needs a loss by Oregon State.
W: Cal, Oregon State, Stanford
-Stanford (2-2) needs a loss by Oregon.
W: Oregon
L: Washington State
-Cal (1-3) needs losses by Washington (2), Washington State (2), and Oregon (3), plus an additional loss by Oregon State.
L: Washington State, Washington, Oregon
South
Controls destiny:
-Utah (3-1)
W: USC, Az State
Needs help:
-Arizona State (3-1) needs losses by Utah.
W: Colorado, UCLA
L: Utah
-UCLA (3-2) needs losses by Arizona State (2).
W: Arizona
L: Arizona State
-USC (2-3) needs losses by Utah (3), plus an additional loss by Arizona State.
W: Colorado
L: Utah
-Colorado (1-3) needs losses by Az State (2), plus an additional loss by Utah.
W: Arizona
L: USC
-Arizona (0-4) needs losses by UCLA (3) and Colorado (2), plus additional losses by Arizona State (2) and Utah (2).
L: UCLA, Colorado
Bowl eligible: Oregon
1 win away: Az State, UCLA
no bowl: Arizona
Big 12
-Oklahoma (5-0)
W: WVU, K-State, Texas, TCU, Kansas
-Oklahoma State (3-1)
W: K-State, Baylor, Texas
L: Iowa State
-Baylor (3-1)
W: Kansas, Iowa State, WVU
L: Oklahoma State
-Iowa State (3-1)
W: Kansas, K-State, Oklahoma State
L: Baylor
-Texas (2-2)
W: Texas Tech, TCU
L: Oklahoma, OK State
-TCU (1-3)
W: Texas Tech
L: Texas, Oklahoma, WVU
-Texas Tech (2-3)
W: WVU, Kansas
L: Texas, TCU, K-State
-Kansas (0-4)
L: Baylor, Iowa State, Texas Tech, Oklahoma
-WVU (1-3)
W: TCU
L: Oklahoma, Texas Tech, Baylor
-Kansas State (1-3)
W: Texas Tech
L: Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Iowa State
Bowl eligible: Oklahoma, OK State, Baylor
1 win away: Texas Tech, Iowa State
1 loss away: Kansas
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