Sunday, October 17, 2021

2021 Week 7 wrap-up

Some folks are starting to compare this season to the insanity of 2007.  I don't think we're quite there, but it could also be due to the rest of the world having gone crazy over the last two years so it seems relatively normal.  Virginia Tech could start regaining some of the normal by firing Brad Cornelson.

Reminder that the conference races only count conference games.  I'm moving the tiebreaker info under each team, separated into wins (W) and losses (L).

ACC Wheel of Destiny

Atlantic
Controls destiny:
-Wake Forest (4-0)
   W:  Louisville, FSU, Syracuse
-NC State (2-0)
   W: Clemson, BC

Needs help:
-Clemson (3-1) needs two NC State losses.
   W:  BC, Syracuse
   L:  NC State

-Louisville (1-2) needs 3 losses by WF, plus an additional loss by NC State.
   W:  FSU
   L:  WF

-BC (0-2) needs losses by NC State (3) and Clemson (2), plus additional losses by WF.
   L:  Clemson, NC State
-FSU (2-2) needs losses by WF (3), Louisville, plus an additional loss by NC State.
   W: Syracuse
   L:  WF, Louisville

-Syracuse (0-3) needs losses by WF (4), FSU (2), and Clemson (3), plus an additional losses by NC State (2).
   L:  WF, FSU, Clemson

Coastal
Controls destiny:
-Pitt (2-0)
   W:  GT, VT

Needs help:
-VT (1-1) needs 2 Pitt losses.
   W:  UNC
   L:  Pitt

-GT (2-2) needs 3 Pitt losses.
   W:  UNC, Duke
   L:  GT

-uva (3-2) needs an additional Pitt loss.
   W:  Miami, Duke
   L:  UNC
-Miami (0-2) needs a uva loss plus an additional Pitt loss.
   L:  uva, UNC
-UNC (3-3) needs losses by VT (3), GT (2), and uva, plus additional losses by Pitt (2) and Miami.
   W:  Duke, uva, Miami
   L:  VT, GT
-Duke (0-3) needs 2 GT losses, plus additional losses by VT and Pitt (2).
   L:  GT, UNC, uva

Bowl eligible:  WF
1 win away:  NC State, Pitt, uva

SEC

East
Controls destiny:
-Georgia (5-0)
   W:  SC, Vandy, Kentucky

Needs help:
-Kentucky (3-1) needs 2 Georgia losses.
   W:  Mizzou, Florida
   L:  Georgia

-Tennessee (2-2) needs 3 Georgia losses.
   W:  Mizzou, SC
   L:  Florida

-Florida (2-3) needs losses by Kentucky (3) and Tennessee, plus additional Georgia losses (2).  They will be eliminated if they lose to Georgia in Week 9.
   W:  Tennessee, Vandy
   L:  Kentucky

-SC (1-2) needs losses by Georgia (3) and Tennessee (2), plus an additional Kentucky loss.
   W:  Vandy
   L:  Georgia, Tennessee
-Mizzou (0-3) needs losses by Kentucky (3) and Tennessee (2).  They will be eliminated with a loss OR Georgia win.
   L:  Kentucky, Tennessee

Out of control:
-Vandy (0-3) will be eliminated with a loss OR Georgia win.  Even if they win out and Georgia loses out, Georgia has the head to head tiebreaker, so Vandy would have to rely on a multi-team tie at 5-3.
   L:  Georgia, Florida, USCe

Any of the 3-loss teams will be eliminated with a loss OR Georgia win.  (For Florida, that would be the same thing as both Florida and Georgia are on byes in week 8 and then play each other in Week 9.)  Any 2-loss team will be eliminated with a loss AND a Georgia win.

West
Controls destiny:
-Alabama (3-1)
   W:  Ole Miss, Mississippi State
   L:  Texas A&M

-Auburn (2-1)
   W:  LSU, Arkansas

Needs help:
-Ole Miss (2-1) needs a loss by Alabama.
   W:  Arkansas
   L:  Alabama

-LSU (2-2) needs losses by Auburn (2).
   W:  Miss State
   L:  Auburn

-Mississippi State (1-2) needs losses by Alabama (2) and LSU.
   W:  Texas A&M
   L:  LSU, Alabama
-Texas A&M (2-2) needs a loss by Mississippi State.
   W:  Alabama
   L:  Arkansas, Miss State
-Arkansas (1-3) needs losses by Ole Miss (3), Auburn (3), and Texas A&M, plus additional losses by Alabama, and Mississippi State.
   W:  Texas A&M
   L:  Ole Miss, Auburn

Bowl eligible:  Georgia, Kentucky, Alabama
1 win away:  Ole Miss, Auburn, Texas A&M

Big Ten (B1G)
East
Controls destiny:
-Ohio State (3-0)
   W:  Rutgers, Maryland
-Michigan (3-0)
   W:  Rutgers
-Michigan State (4-0)
   W:  Rutgers, Indiana
-Penn State (2-1)
   W: Indiana

Needs help:
-Maryland (1-2) needs losses by Ohio State (3) plus additional losses by Michigan and Michigan State.
   L:  OSU
-Indiana (0-3) needs losses by PSU (3) and MSU (4), plus additional losses by OSU (2) and Michigan .
   L: PSU, MSU
-Rutgers (0-4) needs losses by Michigan (5), OSU (5), and MSU (5), plus additional losses by PSU (3) and Maryland.
   L:  OSU, Michigan, Michigan State

West
Controls destiny:
-Minnesota (2-1)
   W:  Purdue, Nebraska
-Northwestern (1-2)
   L:  Nebraska
-Wisconsin (1-2)
   W:  Illinois

Needs help:
-Purdue (2-1) needs a loss by Minnesota.
   W:  Illinois, Iowa
   L:  Minnesota
-Iowa (3-1) needs a loss by Purdue.
   L:  Purdue
-Illinois (1-2) needs losses by Purdue (2) and Wisconsin.
   W:  Nebraska
   L:  Purdue, Wisconsin

-Nebraska (1-4) needs losses by Illinois (3), Minnesota (4), and Northwestern (2), plus additional losses by Iowa (2), Perdue (2), and Wisconsin.
   W:  Northwestern
   L:  Illinois, Minnesota

Bowl eligible:  MSU, Michigan, Iowa
1 win away:  OSU, PSU

Pac-12
North
Controls destiny:
-Oregon State (2-1)
   W: Washington
   L:  Washington State

-Oregon (2-1)
   W:  Cal
   L: Stanford

Needs help:
-Washington (1-2) needs a loss by Oregon State.
   W:  Cal
   L:  Oregon State

-Washington State (3-2) needs a loss by Oregon State.
   W:  Cal, Oregon State, Stanford
-Stanford (2-2) needs a loss by Oregon.
   W:  Oregon
   L:  Washington State

-Cal (0-3) needs losses by Washington (2), Washington State (2), and Oregon (3), plus an additional loss by Oregon State.
   L:  Washington State, Washington, Oregon

South
Controls destiny:
-Utah (3-0)
   W:  USC, Az State

Needs help:
-UCLA (3-1) needs a loss by Arizona State.
   W:  Arizona
   L:  Arizona State
-Arizona State (3-1) needs losses by Utah (2).
   W:  Colorado, UCLA
   L:  Utah

-Colorado (1-2) needs losses by Az State (2), plus an additional loss by Utah.
   W:  Arizona
   L:  USC
-Arizona (0-3) needs losses by UCLA (3) and Colorado (2), plus additional losses by Arizona State and Utah (2).
   L:  UCLA, Colorado
-USC (2-3) needs losses by Utah (4) and Colorado, plus additional losses by Arizona State and Arizona.
   W:  Colorado
   L:  Utah

Bowl eligible:  none yet
1 win away:  Oregon, Az State, UCLA
1 loss away:  Arizona

Big 12
-Oklahoma (4-0)
   W: WVU, K-State, Texas, TCU
-Oklahoma State (3-0)
   W: K-State, Baylor, Texas
-Baylor (3-1)
   W: Kansas, Iowa State, WVU
   L:  Oklahoma State

-Iowa State (2-1)
   W: Kansas, K-State
   L:  Baylor
-Texas (2-2)
   W:  Texas Tech, TCU
   L:  Oklahoma, OK State

-TCU (1-2)
   W:  Texas Tech
   L: Texas, Oklahoma
-Texas Tech (2-2)
   W:  WVU, Kansas
   L: Texas, TCU

-Kansas (0-3)
   L: Baylor, Iowa State, Texas Tech
-WVU (0-3)
   L:  Oklahoma, Texas Tech, Baylor
-Kansas State (0-3)
   L:  Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Iowa State

Bowl eligible:  Oklahoma, OK State, Baylor
1 win away:  Texas Tech

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