Sunday, October 15, 2017

Week 7 wrap up

And all of the Hokies say thank goodness for the bye week.  I mean, I take the day off to go to a concert and come back to find all sorts of upside down scores.

ACC
Coastal
Controls destiny:
Miami (3-0) has tiebreakers over Duke and GT.
VT (1-1) has only played cross-divisional games.
UVA (2-0) has a tiebreaker over Duke and UNC.

Needs help:
GT (2-1) needs two Miami losses, but has tiebreakers over Pitt and UNC.
Duke (1-3) needs three Miami losses, 4 UVA losses, and an extra loss from GT.  They have a tiebreaker over UNC.

Just start winning:
Pitt (0-3) lost to GT.
UNC (0-4) lost to UVA, Duke, and GT.  They will be eliminated with a loss.

Atlantic
Controls destiny:
NC State (4-0) has tiebreakers over FSU, Louisville, and Syracuse.

Needs help:
Syracuse (2-1) needs two NC State losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Clemson.
Clemson (4-1) needs a Syracuse loss.  They have tiebreakers over Louisville and BC.
Florida State (2-2) needs three NC State losses.  They have a tiebreaker over WF.
Boston College (1-2) needs 2 Clemson losses, but they have a tiebreaker over Louisville.
Louisville (1-3) needs 2 BC losses, 3 Clemson losses, 4 NC State losses, and an extra Syracuse loss.

Since NC State and Clemson have yet to play each other, we know that one of them will have at least 5 wins.  That means that Louisville is eliminated with a loss.

Just start winning:
Wake Forest (0-2) lost to LSU and Clemson.

Bowl eligible:  Clemson, NC State
One win away:  VT, Miami, UVA
One loss away from no bowl:  UNC

SEC
East
Controls destiny:
Georgia (4-0) has tiebreakers over Missouri, Tennessee, and Vanderbilt.
Kentucky (2-1) has tiebreakers over South Carolina and Missouri, but lost to Florida.

Needs help:
South Carolina (3-2) needs 2 Kentucky losses and an extra Georgia loss, but has a tiebreaker over Missouri.
Florida (3-2) has tiebreakers over Tennessee, Kentucky, and Vanderbilt.

Just start winning:
Tennessee (0-3) lost to Florida, Georgia, and USCe.
Missouri (0-4) lost to USCe, Georgia, and Kentucky.
Vanderbilt (0-4) lost to Florida and Georgia.

Missouri and Vanderbilt will be eliminated with a loss OR Georgia win.  Tennessee will be eliminated with a loss AND a Georgia win.

West
Controls destiny:
Alabama (4-0) has tiebreakers over Texas A&M and Arkansas.
LSU (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Auburn, but lost to Mississippi State.

Needs help:
Auburn (3-1) needs an LSU loss, but has a tiebreaker over Mississippi State.
Texas A&M (3-1) needs two Alabama losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Arkansas.
Arkansas (0-3) needs two Texas A&M losses.
Mississippi State (1-2) needs two Auburn losses, plus extra losses by Alabama and Texas A&M.  They have a tiebreaker over LSU.

Out of contention:
Ole Miss (got caught cheating)

Bowl eligible:  Alabama, Georgia
One win away:  Kentucky, South Carolina, Auburn, Texas A&M, LSU
No bowl:  Ole Miss

LSU successfully defended the Championship of Life.  Ole Miss will be the next challenger.

B1G
East
Controls destiny:
Ohio State (4-0) has tiebreakers over Indiana, Maryland, and Rutgers.
Penn State (3-0) has a tiebreaker over Indiana.
Michigan State (3-0) has a tiebreaker over Michigan.

Needs help:
Michigan (2-1) needs two Michigan State losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Indiana.
Maryland (1-2) needs three OSU losses, plus extra losses from Penn State and Michigan State.
Rutgers (1-2) needs three OSU losses, plus extra losses from Penn State and Michigan State.

Just start winning:
Indiana (0-3) lost to Ohio State, Penn State, and Michigan.

West
Controls destiny:
Wisconsin (3-0) has tiebreakers over Northwestern, Nebraska, and Purdue.

Needs help:
Nebraska (2-2) needs two Wisconsin losses, but has a tiebreaker over Illinois.
Iowa (1-2) needs an extra loss by Wisconsin.  They have tiebreaker over Illinois.
Purdue (1-2) needs three Wisconsin losses, but has a tiebreaker over Minnesota.
Northwestern (1-2) needs three Wisconsin losses.

Just start winning:
Illinois (0-3) lost to Nebraska.
Minnesota (0-3) lost to Purdue.

Bowl eligible:  Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin
One win away:  Michigan State, Michigan

Pac-12
North
Controls destiny:
Washington State (3-1) has a tiebreaker over Oregon State and Oregon.  They lost to Cal.
Washington (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Cal.
Stanford (2-2) has a tiebreaker over Oregon.

Needs help:
Oregon (1-3) needs two Stanford losses, three Washington State losses, and two extra Washington losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Cal.
Cal (1-3) needs an Oregon loss, two Washington State losses, and three Washington losses. They have a tiebreaker over Washington State.

Just start winning:
Oregon State (0-4) lost to Washington and Washington State.

South
Controls destiny:
USC (4-1) has a tiebreaker over Utah.
Arizona State (2-1) has only played cross-divisional games.
Arizona (2-1) has tiebreakers over Colorado and UCLA, but lost to Utah.
UCLA (1-1) has a tiebreaker over Colorado.

Needs help:
Utah (1-2) has a tiebreaker over Arizona.

Just start winning:
Colorado (1-3) lost to UCLA and Arizona.

Bowl eligible:  Washington, Washington State, USC
One win away:  Stanford

Big 12
Controls destiny:
TCU (3-0) has tiebreakers over Oklahoma State, WVU, and Kansas State.
Texas (2-1) has tiebreakers over Iowa State and Kansas State, but lost to Oklahoma.
Iowa State (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Oklahoma and Kansas, but lost to Texas.
Oklahoma (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Baylor and Texas, but lost to Iowa State.
West Virginia (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Kansas and Texas Tech, but lost to TCU.
Oklahoma State (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Texas Tech and Baylor, but lost to TCU.
Kansas State (1-2) has a tiebreaker over Baylor, but lost to Texas and TCU.
Texas Tech (1-2) has a tiebreaker over Kansas, but lost to Oklahoma State and WVU.

Just start winning:
Kansas (0-3) lost to Iowa State, WVU, and Texas Tech.
Baylor (0-3) lost to Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, and K-State.

Bowl eligible:  TCU
One game away:  Oklahoma, Oklahoma State
One loss away from no bowl:  Baylor

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