Week 8 wrap up

When the NCAA refuses to punish a school for cheating, it's left to the teams on the field.

Bowl ineligible teams with an asterisk are sitting at 7 losses, and might be able to make a bowl depending on availability and APR rankings.

ACC
Coastal
Controls destiny:
Miami (4-0) has tiebreakers over Duke and GT.
VT (2-1) has a tiebreaker over UNC.
UVA (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Duke and UNC.

Needs help:
GT (3-1) needs two Miami losses, but has tiebreakers over Pitt and UNC.
Pitt (1-3) needs 3 GT losses, plus extra losses from Miami (x2), VT, and UVA.  They have a tiebreaker over Duke.  They will be eliminated with a loss and a Miami win.

Out of control:
Duke (1-4) lost to Miami, UVA, and Pitt.  They beat UNC.  At best, they could force a multi-way tie of 4 loss teams.  They will be eliminated with a loss or Miami win.

Out of contention:
UNC (0-5) lost to VT, UVA, Duke, and GT.

Atlantic
Controls destiny:
NC State (4-0) has tiebreakers over FSU, Louisville, and Syracuse.
Clemson (4-1) has tiebreakers over Louisville and BC.  They lost to Syracuse.

Needs help:
Syracuse (2-2) needs three NC State losses and a Clemson loss.
Boston College (2-2) needs 2 Clemson losses and an extra NC State loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Louisville.
Louisville (2-3) needs 2 BC losses, 3 Clemson losses, 4 NC State losses.  They have a tiebreaker over FSU.
Florida State (2-3) needs four NC State losses and a Louisville loss.  They have a tiebreaker over WF.

Just start winning:
Wake Forest (0-3) lost to FSU and Clemson.

Since NC State and Clemson have yet to play each other, we know that one of them will have at least 5 wins.  That means that any 3 loss Atlantic team is eliminated with a loss.

Bowl eligible:  Clemson, NC State, VT, Miami
One win away:  UVA, Louisville
Not bowl eligible:  UNCheat*

SEC
East
Controls destiny:
Georgia (4-0) has tiebreakers over Missouri, Tennessee, and Vanderbilt.
Kentucky (2-2) has tiebreakers over South Carolina and Missouri, but lost to Florida.

Needs help:
South Carolina (3-2) needs 2 Kentucky losses and an extra Georgia loss, but has a tiebreaker over Missouri.
Florida (3-2) has tiebreakers over Tennessee, Kentucky, and Vanderbilt.

Just start winning:
Tennessee (0-4) lost to Florida, Georgia, and USCe.
Missouri (0-4) lost to USCe, Georgia, and Kentucky.
Vanderbilt (0-4) lost to Florida and Georgia.

Missouri and Vanderbilt will be eliminated with a loss OR Georgia win.  Tennessee will be eliminated with a loss AND a Georgia win.

West
Controls destiny:
Alabama (5-0) has tiebreakers over Texas A&M and Arkansas.
LSU (3-1) has a tiebreaker over Auburn, but lost to Mississippi State.

Needs help:
Auburn (4-1) needs an LSU loss, but has a tiebreaker over Mississippi State.
Texas A&M (3-1) needs two Alabama losses.
Mississippi State (2-2) needs two Auburn losses, plus extra losses by Alabama and Texas A&M.  They have a tiebreaker over LSU.

Out of contention:
Ole Miss (got caught cheating)
Arkansas (0-4)

Bowl eligible:  Alabama, Georgia, Auburn, LSU
One win away:  Kentucky, South Carolina, Texas A&M, Mississippi State
No bowl:  Ole Miss

LSU successfully defended the Championship of Life again.  After a bye week, Alabama will be the next challenger.  I expect Alabama to take the fun out of yet another part of college football.

B1G
East
Controls destiny:
Ohio State (4-0) has tiebreakers over Indiana, Maryland, and Rutgers.
Penn State (4-0) has a tiebreaker over Indiana and Michigan.
Michigan State (4-0) has a tiebreaker over Michigan.

Needs help:
Michigan (2-2) needs three Michigan State losses, and three Penn State losses, plus an extra OSU loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Indiana.
Rutgers (2-2) needs three OSU losses, plus extra losses from Penn State and Michigan State.
Maryland (1-3) needs four OSU losses, plus two extra losses each from Penn State and Michigan State.

Just start winning:
Indiana (0-4) lost to Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan, and Michigan State.  They will be eliminated with a loss (due to OSU/PSU winner being 5-0).

West
Controls destiny:
Wisconsin (4-0) has tiebreakers over Northwestern, Nebraska, and Purdue.

Needs help:

Northwestern (2-2) needs three Wisconsin losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Iowa.
Nebraska (2-2) needs three Wisconsin losses, but has a tiebreaker over Illinois.
Iowa (1-3) needs two extra losses by Wisconsin.  They have tiebreaker over Illinois.
Purdue (1-3) needs three Wisconsin losses, but has a tiebreaker over Minnesota.
Illinois (1-3) needs two Nebraska losses and two extra losses by Wisconsin.  They have a tiebreaker over Minnesota.

Just start winning:
Minnesota (0-4) lost to Purdue and Illinois.  They will be eliminated with a loss and Wisconsin win.

Bowl eligible:  Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Michigan State
One win away:  Michigan

Pac-12
North
Controls destiny:
Washington State (4-1) has a tiebreaker over Oregon State and Oregon.  They lost to Cal.
Washington (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Cal.
Stanford (2-2) has a tiebreaker over Oregon.

Needs help:
Oregon (1-4) needs three Stanford losses, four Washington State losses, and two extra Washington losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Cal.
Cal (1-4) needs an Oregon loss, three Washington State losses, and three Washington losses. They have a tiebreaker over Washington State.

Just start winning:
Oregon State (0-4) lost to Washington and Washington State.

South
Controls destiny:
USC (4-1) has a tiebreaker over Utah.
Arizona State (3-1) has a tiebreaker over Utah.
Arizona (3-1) has tiebreakers over Colorado and UCLA, but lost to Utah.
UCLA (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Colorado.

Needs help:
Utah (1-3) needs three USC losses, three Arizona State losses, two Arizona losses, and an extra UCLA loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Arizona.

Just start winning:
Colorado (1-4) lost to UCLA and Arizona.

Bowl eligible:  Washington, Washington State, USC
One win away:  Stanford, Arizona
One loss away from no bowl:  Oregon State

Big 12
Controls destiny:
TCU (4-0) has tiebreakers over Oklahoma State, WVU, Kansas, and Kansas State.
Iowa State (3-1) has tiebreakers over Texas Tech, Oklahoma, and Kansas, but lost to Texas.
Oklahoma (3-1) has tiebreakers over Kansas State, Baylor, and Texas, but lost to Iowa State.
West Virginia (3-1) has tiebreakers over Baylor, Kansas, and Texas Tech, but lost to TCU.
Oklahoma State (3-1) has tiebreakers over Texas, Texas Tech, and Baylor, but lost to TCU.

If any of these teams win out, they should be guaranteed a top two finish in conference, which will get them to the title game.

Needs help:
Texas (2-2) has tiebreakers over Iowa State and Kansas State, but lost to Oklahoma and Oklahoma State.
Kansas State (1-3) has a tiebreaker over Baylor, but lost to Oklahoma, Texas, and TCU.
Texas Tech (1-3) has a tiebreaker over Kansas, but lost to Iowa State, Oklahoma State, and WVU.

Just start winning:
Kansas (0-4) lost to Iowa State, WVU, TCU, and Texas Tech.
Baylor (0-4) lost to WVU, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, and K-State.

Bowl eligible:  TCU, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State
One game away:  Iowa State, WVU
One loss away from no bowl:  Kansas
No bowl:  Baylor*