We're still another week away from the committee starting their rankings, but seeing as how I've been easing into football season this year, I thought I'd create a refresher as to what we're looking at for the New Year's Six this year.
The Peach and Fiesta Bowls are the semi-finals this season, which means that there is only room for one at-large team, who will play the G5 representative in the Cotton Bowl. This also means that none of the champs who aren't in the CFP will be getting displaced from their regular landing spot.
I'm using the latest AP Poll for the rankings and projections.
Of course, as I do this, we have a historic weekend coming up on November 9. There are 2 games featuring 8-0 teams playing each other (all four teams have a bye this coming weekend). That means there is a lot of wiggle room in the projections.
Coming up with the top four teams is difficult at the moment. The current top 5 contains teams that will play each other soon.
The top four I will project at this point are Ohio State, Clemson, Oregon, and the LSU/Alabama winner.
Peach: Clemson (#4) vs. LSU/Alabama winner (#1/2)
Fiesta: Ohio State (#3) vs. Oregon (#7)
The only bowl not needing a replacement for their champ is the Sugar for the Big 12.
Sugar: LSU/Alabama loser (#1/2) vs. Oklahoma (#10)
Rose: Penn State (#5, Big Ten replacement) vs. Utah (#9, Pac-12 replacement)
Orange: Wake Forest (#23, ACC replacement) vs. Florida (#6, highest ranked non-champ/non-replacement out of SEC/Big Ten/ND)
Cotton: SMU (#15, G5) vs. Georgia (#8, highest ranked team not already placed)
These projections are very volatile, and I don't expect a lot of them to hold up as teams knock each other down the rankings.
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