Week 8 wrap up

The NCAA adopted a new overtime rule this year.  Starting with the 5th OT, teams alternate 2 point attempts.  The first game to utilize this new rule was played in Lane Stadium on October 19, 2019, when the Virginia Tech Hokies beat the cheating Tarheels of North Carolina 43-41 in 6 OTs.

Oh, and the ACC Coastal went into full chaos mode.  And, we're getting close to eliminations.


ACC
Atlantic
Controls destiny:
-Clemson (5-0) has tiebreakers over Louisville, Syracuse, and FSU.
-Wake Forest (2-1) has tiebreakers over BC and FSU.  They lost to Louisville.

Needs help:
-Louisville (2-2) needs 3 Clemson losses and a WF loss.  They have tiebreakers over Wake Forest and BC.  They will be eliminated with a loss AND Clemson win.
-BC (2-2) needs 2 WF losses, a Louisville loss, and an extra Clemson loss.  They have a tiebreaker over NC State.  They will be eliminated with a loss AND Clemson win.
-NC State (1-2) needs a BC loss and an extra Clemson loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Syracuse.  They lost to FSU and BC.  They will be eliminated with a loss AND Clemson win.

Out of control:
-FSU (2-3) will be eliminated with a loss OR Clemson win.

-Syracuse (0-3) will be eliminated with a loss OR Clemson win.

Coastal
Controls destiny:
-UVA (3-1) has tiebreakers over Pitt and Duke.  They lost to Miami.

Needs help:
-Pitt (2-1) needs a UVA loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Duke.
-Duke (2-2) needs 2 Pitt losses and 2 UVA losses.  They have a tiebreaker over VT.
-VT (2-2) needs a Duke loss.  They have tiebreakers over Miami and UNC.
-UNC (2-2) needs a VT loss.  They have tiebreakers over Miami and GT.
-GT (1-3) needs 2 Duke losses, 2 UNC losses, an extra UVA loss, and an extra Pitt loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Miami.
-Miami (1-3) needs 2 UNC losses, 2 VT losses, 2 UVA losses, a GT loss, and an extra Pitt loss.  They have a tiebreaker over UVA.

Bowl eligible:  Clemson, WF
One win away:  UVA, Pitt

SEC
East
Controls destiny:
-Florida (4-1) has tiebreakers over Kentucky, Tennessee, and USCe.
-Georgia (3-1) has tiebreakers over Kentucky, Vanderbilt, and Tennessee. They lost to USCe.
-Missouri (2-1) has a tiebreaker over USCe.  They lost to Vanderbilt.

Needs help:
-South Carolina (2-3) needs 3 Missouri losses, 3 Florida losses, and 2 Georgia losses.  They have tiebreakers over Georgia and Kentucky
-Tennessee (1-3) needs 3 Florida losses, 3 Georgia losses, and an extra Missouri loss.
-Vanderbilt (1-3) needs 3 Georgia losses, 2 Missouri losses, and 2 extra Florida losses.
All three of these teams will be eliminated with a loss AND a Florida win.

Out of control:
-Kentucky (1-4) would need a multi-team tie with Florida and other teams at 4-4 to have any chance.  They will be eliminated with a loss OR Florida win.

Missouri is appealing a postseason ban from the NCAA, so as of now they are not eligible to win the division.  I will keep track of them as normal until a decision is finalized.

West
Controls destiny:
-Alabama (4-0) has tiebreakers over Ole Miss and Texas A&M.
-LSU (3-0) has a tiebreaker over Miss State.
-Auburn (3-1) has tiebreakers over Texas A&M and Miss State.  Their loss is cross-divisional.

Needs help:
-Texas A&M (2-2) needs 2 Auburn losses, 3 Alabama losses, and an extra LSU loss.  They have tiebreakers over Arkansas and Ole Miss.
-Mississippi State (1-3) needs 3 Auburn losses, 2 extra Alabama losses, and 2 extra LSU losses.  They will be eliminated with a loss AND an Alabama win.
-Ole Miss (2-3) needs 4 Alabama losses, 2 Texas A&M losses, 2 extra LSU losses, and an extra Auburn loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Arkansas.  They will be eliminated with a loss AND an Alabama win.

Out of control:
-Arkansas (0-4) will be eliminated with a loss OR Alabama win.

Bowl eligible:  Florida, Alabama, LSU, Georgia, Auburn
One game away:  Missouri (pending appeal)

Big Ten
East
Controls destiny:
-Ohio State (4-0) has tiebreakers over Indiana and Michigan State.
-Penn State (4-0) has tiebreakers over Michigan and Maryland.

Needs help:
-Michigan (3-2) needs 3 PSU losses and an extra OSU loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Rutgers.
-Michigan State (2-2) needs 3 Ohio State losses and an extra PSU loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Indiana.

-Indiana (2-2) needs three Ohio State losses, a Michigan State loss, and an extra Penn State loss.  They have tiebreakers over Rutgers and Maryland.

-Maryland (1-3) needs 4 Penn State losses and 2 extra OSU losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Rutgers.

Eliminated:

-Rutgers (0-5) is out due to the eventual winner of OSU/PSU achieving 5 wins.

West
Controls destiny:
-Minnesota (4-0) has tiebreakers over Nebraska, Illinois, and Purdue.
-Wisconsin (3-1) has a tiebreaker over Northwestern.

Needs help:
-Iowa (2-2) needs an extra Minnesota loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Purdue.
-Nebraska (2-2) needs three Minnesota losses.  They have tiebreakers over Northwestern and Illinois.

-Purdue (1-3) needs 4 Minnesota losses, 2 Iowa losses, and an extra Wisconsin loss.

-Illinois (1-3) needs 4 Minnesota losses, 2 Nebraska losses, and 2 Wisconsin losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Wisconsin.
-Northwestern (0-4) needs 4 Wisconsin losses, 3 Nebraska losses, 3 extra Minnesota losses, and an extra Iowa loss.  They will be eliminated with a loss AND a Minnesota win.

Bowl eligible:  Ohio State, Penn State, Minnesota, Wisconsin
One game away:  Michigan, Indiana, Iowa
One loss away from no bowl:  Rutgers

Pac-12
North
Controls destiny:
-Oregon (4-0) has tiebreakers over Washington, Stanford, and Cal.

Needs help:
-Oregon State (2-2) needs an extra Oregon loss.  They has a tiebreaker over Cal.
-Washington State (1-3) needs 2 extra Oregon losses.  So far, all of their conference games have been cross-divisional.
-Stanford (2-3) needs 4 Oregon losses and an Oregon State loss.  They have tiebreakers over Oregon State and Washington.
-Cal (1-3) needs 4 Oregon losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Washington.
-Washington (2-3) needs 4 Oregon losses, a Cal loss, and a Stanford loss.

South
Controls destiny:
-USC (3-1) has a tiebreaker over Utah and Arizona.
-Arizona State (2-2) lost to Colorado, who is behind them in the standings.

Needs help:
-Utah (3-1) needs a USC loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Arizona State.
-Arizona (2-2) needs 2 USC losses.  They have tiebreakers over Colorado and UCLA.
-UCLA (2-2) needs a Arizona loss.
-Colorado (1-3) needs 2 Arizona losses, an extra USC loss, and an extra Utah loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Arizona State.

Bowl eligible: Oregon, Utah
One game away:  Washington, Arizona State

Big 12
-Baylor (4-0) has tiebreakers over OK State, Texas Tech, K-State, and Iowa State.
-Oklahoma (4-0) has tiebreakers over WVU, Texas, Kansas, and Texas Tech.
-Texas (3-1) has tiebreakers over Kansas, OK State, and WVU.  They lost to Oklahoma.
-Iowa State (3-1) has tiebreakers over Texas Tech, TCU, and WVU.  They lost to Baylor.
-Kansas State (1-2) has a tiebreaker over TCU.  They lost to Baylor and OK State.
-TCU (1-2) has a tiebreaker over Kansas.  They lost to Iowa State and K-State.
-Texas Tech (1-3) has a tiebreaker over OK State.  They lost to Iowa State, Oklahoma, and Baylor.
-WVU (1-3) has a tiebreaker over Kansas.  They lost to Oklahoma, Texas, and Iowa State.
-Oklahoma State (1-3) has a tiebreaker over K-State.  They lost to Baylor, Texas, and Texas Tech.
-Kansas (0-4) lost to Texas, Oklahoma, TCU, and WVU.

Baylor, Oklahoma, Texas, and Iowa State, all control their destiny to get to the Big 12 championship game.

Bowl eligible: Baylor, Oklahoma
One game away:  Iowa State, Texas