Week 9 wrap up

I admit, I didn't watch much this weekend.  With a VT bye week and the last weekend before Halloween, I gotta focus on family stuff.  But man, did the ACC not disappoint.

We have reached the point of the season when the magic number is back.

ACC
Atlantic
Magic number: 3

Controls destiny:
-Clemson (6-0) has tiebreakers over Louisville, Syracuse, and FSU.
-Wake Forest (2-1) has tiebreakers over BC and FSU.  They lost to Louisville.

Out of control:
-Louisville (3-2) has a slim chance if they get into a three way tie with Clemson and Wake Forest.  (In this scenario, NC State would be eliminated by losing to Louisville.)  I'm not sure who would win, as all three teams would be 1-1 against each other, and Louisville and Clemson would be 4-2 in division.  Wake Forest would be either 5-1 or 4-2 in the division.  In the case of 5-1, they would win, but a 4-2 division record would drop down to the next tiebreaker.  It's too early in the season for me to try to figure that one out.  Either way, Louisville faces elimination with a loss OR Clemson win.
-NC State (1-2) can clinch the division if they win out and Clemson loses out.  In this scenario, they would have tiebreakers over Clemson and Wake Forest, as well as drop Louisville out of contention.  They will be eliminated with a loss OR Clemson win.

Out of contention:

-BC (2-3) was eliminated by losing to Clemson.

-FSU (3-3) was eliminated when Clemson beat BC.

-Syracuse (0-4) was eliminated by losing to FSU.

Coastal
Magic number:  6

Controls destiny:
-UVA (3-2) has tiebreakers over Pitt and Duke.  They lost to Miami.
-VT (2-2) has tiebreakers over Miami and UNC.  They lost to Duke.

Needs help:
-UNC (3-2) needs a VT loss.  They have tiebreakers over Duke, Miami, and GT.
-Pitt (2-2) needs a UVA loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Duke.  They lost to Miami.
-Duke (2-3) needs 2 Pitt losses, 2 UVA losses, 2 UNC losses, and a VT loss.  They have a tiebreaker over VT.
-GT (1-3) needs a Duke loss and 2 UNC losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Miami.
-Miami (2-3) needs 2 UNC losses, 2 VT losses, a UVA loss, a Pitt loss, and a GT loss.  They have tiebreakers over UVA and Pitt.

Bowl eligible:  Clemson, WF
One win away:  UVA, Pitt, Louisville

SEC
East
Magic number:  5

Controls destiny:
-Florida (4-1) has tiebreakers over Kentucky, Tennessee, and USCe.
-Georgia (3-1) has tiebreakers over Kentucky, Vanderbilt, and Tennessee. They lost to USCe.

Needs help:
-Missouri (2-2) has a tiebreaker over USCe.  They lost to Vanderbilt and Kentucky.
-Tennessee (2-3) needs 3 Florida losses, 3 Georgia losses, and an extra Missouri loss.  They will be eliminated with a loss AND a Florida win.
-Vanderbilt (1-3) needs 3 Georgia losses, 2 Missouri losses, and 2 extra Florida losses.  They will be eliminated with a loss AND a Florida win.

Out of control:

-South Carolina would need a multi-team tie with Florida and other teams at 4-4 to have any chance.  They have tiebreakers over Georgia and Kentucky.  They will be eliminated with a loss OR Florida win.

-Kentucky (2-4) would need a multi-team tie with Florida and other teams at 4-4 to have any chance.  They will be eliminated with a loss OR Florida win.

Missouri is appealing a postseason ban from the NCAA, so as of now they are not eligible to win the division.  I will keep track of them as normal until a decision is finalized.

West
Magic number: 4

Controls destiny:
-Alabama (5-0) has tiebreakers over Ole Miss and Texas A&M.
-LSU (4-0) has a tiebreaker over Auburn.

Needs help:
-Auburn (3-2) needs 3 LSU losses and an extra Alabama loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Texas A&M.
-Texas A&M (3-2) needs an Auburn loss, 3 Alabama losses, and an extra LSU loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Ole Miss.

Out of control:
-Ole Miss (2-3) would have to force a tie with Alabama and other teams for any chance.  They will be eliminated with a loss OR an Alabama win.


Out of contention:
-Mississippi State (1-4) was eliminated by losing to Texas A&M.
-Arkansas (0-5) was eliminated by losing to Alabama.

Bowl eligible:  Florida, Alabama, LSU, Georgia, Auburn
One game away:  Texas A&M, Missouri (pending appeal)
One loss away:  Arkansas

Big Ten
East
Magic number:  4 (OSU/PSU winner will guarantee a 6th win)

Controls destiny:
-Ohio State (5-0) has tiebreakers over Indiana and Michigan State.
-Penn State (5-0) has tiebreakers over Michigan and Michigan State.

Needs help:
-Michigan (3-2) needs 3 PSU losses and an extra OSU loss.
-Indiana (3-2) needs three Ohio State losses and an extra Penn State loss.

Out of control:
-Michigan State (2-3) would need both Ohio State and Penn State to lose out in order to regain control.  Such a task is impossible as those teams have yet to play each other.  They have a tiebreaker over Indiana.

Out of contention:
-Maryland (1-4) was eliminated by losing to Minnesota.

-Rutgers (0-5) was officially eliminated when OSU beat Wisconsin.

West
Magic number:  5

Controls destiny:
-Minnesota (5-0) has tiebreakers over Nebraska, Illinois, and Purdue.

Needs help:
-Wisconsin (3-2) needs an extra Minnesota loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Northwestern.
-Iowa (3-2) needs an extra Minnesota loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Purdue.
-Nebraska (2-3) needs three Minnesota losses.  They have tiebreakers over Northwestern and Illinois.

-Illinois (2-3) needs 4 Minnesota losses, 2 Nebraska losses, and 2 Wisconsin losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Wisconsin.

Out of control:
-Purdue (1-4) would need to force a tie with Minnesota and other teams.  They will be eliminated with a loss OR Minnesota win.

Out of contention:
-Northwestern (0-5) was eliminated by losing to Iowa.

Bowl eligible:  Michigan, Indiana, Ohio State, Penn State, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa
One game away:  none
One loss away from no bowl:  Rutgers, Purdue, Northwestern

Pac-12
North
Magic number:  5

Controls destiny:
-Oregon (5-0) has tiebreakers over Washington State, Washington, Stanford, and Cal.

Needs help:
-Oregon State (2-2) needs an extra Oregon loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Cal.
-Stanford (3-3) needs 4 Oregon losses and an Oregon State loss.  They have tiebreakers over Oregon State and Washington.
-Washington (2-3) needs 4 Oregon losses and a Stanford loss.
-Cal (1-4) needs 4 Oregon losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Washington.  They will be eliminated with a loss OR Oregon win.

Out of control:

-Washington State (1-4) will be eliminated with a loss OR Oregon win.

South
Magic number:  6

Controls destiny:
-USC (4-1) has tiebreakers over Colorado, Utah, and Arizona.
-UCLA (3-2) has a tiebreaker over Arizona State.

Needs help:
-Utah (4-1) needs a USC loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Arizona State.
-Arizona (2-3) needs 2 USC losses and a UCLA loss.  They have tiebreakers over Colorado and UCLA.
-Arizona State (2-3) needs 2 UCLA losses, 2 Utah losses, and an extra USC loss.
-Colorado (1-4) needs 2 Arizona losses, an extra USC loss, and an extra Utah loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Arizona State.

Bowl eligible: Oregon, Utah
One game away:  Washington, Arizona State, USC

Big 12
-Baylor (4-0) has tiebreakers over OK State, Texas Tech, K-State, and Iowa State.
-Oklahoma (4-1) has tiebreakers over WVU, Texas, Kansas, and Texas Tech.  They lost to K-State.
-Texas (3-2) has tiebreakers over Kansas, OK State, and WVU.  They lost to Oklahoma and TCU.
-Iowa State (3-2) has tiebreakers over Texas Tech, TCU, and WVU.  They lost to Baylor and Oklahoma State.
-Kansas State (2-2) has tiebreakers over Oklahoma and TCU.  They lost to Baylor and OK State.
-TCU (2-2) has tiebreakers over Texas and Kansas.  They lost to Iowa State and K-State.
-Oklahoma State (2-3) has tiebreakers over Iowa State and K-State.  They lost to Baylor, Texas, and Texas Tech.
-WVU (1-3) has a tiebreaker over Kansas.  They lost to Oklahoma, Texas, and Iowa State.
-Kansas (1-4) has a tiebreaker over Texas Tech.  They lost to Texas, Oklahoma, TCU, and WVU.
-Texas Tech (1-4) has a tiebreaker over OK State.  They lost to Iowa State, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Baylor.

Baylor and Oklahoma still control their destiny to the Big 12 championship game.

Bowl eligible: Baylor, Oklahoma
One game away:  Iowa State, Texas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State