Sunday, October 6, 2019

Week 6 wrap up

We've missed a few weeks, but fortunately those weeks were light on conference action.  Well, compared to late October.  The ACC front loaded a bit to push their new network.

As always in the conference races, we're only counting conference games.



ACC
Atlantic
Controls destiny:

-Clemson (3-0) has a tiebreaker over Syracuse.
-Wake Forest (1-0) has a tiebreaker over BC.
-FSU (2-1) has tiebreakers over NC State and Louisville.  Their loss is cross-divisional.

Needs help:

-Louisville (1-1) needs a FSU loss.  They have a tiebreaker over BC.
-NC State (0-1) needs a FSU loss.
-Syracuse (0-1) needs two Clemson losses.
-BC (1-2) needs 3 WF losses, 2 Louisville losses, and an extra Clemson loss.

Coastal
Controls destiny:

-UVA (2-0) has a tiebreaker over Pitt.
-UNC (2-1) has tiebreakers over Miami and GT.  Their loss is cross-divisional.

Needs help:
-Pitt (1-1) needs two UVA losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Duke.
-Duke (1-1) needs a Pitt loss.  They have a tiebreaker over VT.
-VT (1-2) needs two Duke losses plus an extra UVA loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Miami.
-GT (0-2) needs two UNC losses and an extra UVA loss.
-Miami (0-2) needs two UNC losses, a VT loss, and an extra UVA loss.

Reminder:  The UNC/WF game was scheduled as a non-conference game and does not count in conference records.


Bowl eligible:  none yet
One game away:  Clemson, Wake Forest

SEC
East
Controls destiny:

-Florida (3-0) has tiebreakers over Kentucky and Tennessee.
-Georgia (2-0) has tiebreakers over Vanderbilt and Tennessee.

-Missouri (1-0) has a tiebreaker over USCe.

Needs help:

-South Carolina (1-2) needs three Missouri losses, plus extra losses by Florida and Georgia.  They have a tiebreaker over Kentucky.
-Tennessee (0-2) needs three Florida losses, three Georgia losses, and an extra Missouri loss.
-Kentucky (0-3) needs three Florida losses, two USCe losses, two extra Georgia losses, and an extra Missouri loss.
-Vanderbilt (0-3) needs four Georgia losses plus 2 extra Florida losses and 2 extra Missouri losses.


West
Controls destiny:
Alabama (2-0) has a tiebreaker over Ole Miss.
LSU (1-0) has a cross-divisional win.
Auburn (2-1) has tiebreakers over Texas A&M and Miss State.  Their loss is cross-divisional.

Needs help:
Ole Miss (2-1) needs two Alabama losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Arkansas.
Mississippi State (1-1) needs an Auburn loss.
Texas A&M (1-1) needs an Auburn loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Arkansas.
Arkansas (0-2) needs two Ole Miss losses, two Texas A&M losses, plus extra losses by Alabama and LSU.

Bowl eligible:  Florida
One game away:  Georgia, Alabama, LSU, Auburn

Big Ten
East
Controls destiny:
-Ohio State (3-0) has tiebreakers over Indiana and Michigan State.
-Penn State (2-0) has a tiebreaker over Maryland.
-Michigan (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Rutgers.  Their loss is cross-divisional.

Needs help:
-Michigan State (2-1) needs two Ohio State losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Indiana.
-Maryland (1-1) needs two Penn State losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Rutgers.
-Indiana (0-2) needs three Ohio State losses, two Michigan State losses, and an extra Penn State loss.
-Rutgers (0-3) needs three Michigan losses, three Maryland losses, two extra OSU losses, two extra PSU losses, and an extra MSU loss.

West
Controls destiny:

-Minnesota (2-0) has tiebreakers over Illinois and Purdue.
-Wisconsin (2-0) has a tiebreaker over Northwestern.
-Nebraska (2-1) has tiebreakers over Northwestern and Illinois.  Their loss is cross-divisional.
-Iowa (1-1) has only played cross-divisional games.

Needs help:
-Purdue (0-2) needs three Minnesota losses and an extra Wisconsin loss.
-Illinois (0-2) needs three Minnesota losses, two Nebraska losses, and an extra Wisconsin loss.
-Northwestern (0-3) needs four Wisconsin losses, three Nebraska losses, two extra Minnesota losses, and an extra Iowa loss.

Bowl eligible:  Ohio State
One game away:  PSU, Minnesota, Wisconsin

Pac-12
North
Controls destiny:
-Oregon (2-0) has tiebreakers over Stanford and Cal.
-Oregon State (1-1) has a cross-divisional win.  Their loss is to Stanford, who is behind them in the rankings.

Needs help:
-Washington State (0-2) needs an extra Oregon loss.  Both losses are cross-divisional.
-Cal (1-2) needs three Oregon losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Washington.
-Stanford (2-2) needs three Oregon losses and an Oregon State loss.  They have tiebreakers over Oregon State and Washington.
-Washington (1-2) needs a Cal loss, a Stanford loss, and an extra Oregon loss.

South
Controls destiny:
-Arizona (2-0) has tiebreakers over Colorado and UCLA.
-USC (2-1) has a tiebreaker over Utah.  Their loss is cross-divisional.

Needs help:
-Colorado (1-1) needs two Arizona losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Arizona State.
-Arizona State (1-1) needs a Colorado loss.
-Utah (1-1) needs a USC loss.
-UCLA (1-2) needs three Arizona losses.

Big 12
-Baylor (2-0) has tiebreakers over K-State and Iowa State.
-Oklahoma (2-0) has tiebreakers over Kansas and Texas Tech.
-Texas (2-0) has tiebreakers over OK State and WVU.
-Iowa State (1-1) has a tiebreaker over TCU.  They lost to Baylor.
-TCU (1-1) has a tiebreaker over Kansas.  They lost to Iowa State.
-Texas Tech (1-1) has a tiebreaker over OK State.  They lost to Oklahoma.
-WVU (1-1) has a tiebreaker over Kansas.  They lost to Texas.
-Oklahoma State (1-2) has a tiebreaker over K-State.  They lost to Texas and Texas Tech.
-Kansas State (0-2) lost to Baylor and OK State.
-Kansas (0-3) lost to Oklahoma, TCU, and WVU.

Current championship projection:  Baylor vs winner of Oklahoma/Texas

Bowl eligible: none yet
One game away:  Baylor, Oklahoma

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