I believe the Big Ten might be the conference to provide a circle of suck this year.
It's the last week without the full P5 playing.
To better compare the ACC teams, I will be adding a maximum win percentage to each team. It is basically what their win percentage will be if they win out. Since some teams have played more conference games than others, it will keep teams in proper ranked order.
ACC
Clemson (6-0) - Max 100%
W: Wake Forest, uva, Miami, GT, Syracuse, BC
L: none
Notre Dame (5-0) - Max 100%
W: Duke, FSU, Louisville, Pitt, GT
L: none
Miami (4-1) - Max 90%
W: Louisville, FSU, Pitt, uva
L: Clemson
UNC (4-2) - Max 80%
W: Syracuse, BC, VT, NC State
L: FSU, uva
Virginia Tech (4-2) - Max 80%
W: NC State, Duke, BC, Louisville
L: UNC, Wake Forest
NC State (4-2) - Max 80%
W: Wake Forest, Pitt, uva, Duke
L: Virginia Tech, UNC
Wake Forest (3-2) - Max 80%
W: uva, VT, Syracuse
L: Clemson, NC State
Boston College (3-3) - Max 70%
W: Duke, Pitt, GT
L: UNC, VT, Clemson
Pitt (2-4) - Max 60%
W: Syracuse, Louisville
L: NC State, BC, Miami, ND
Florida State (1-4) - Max 60%
W: UNC
L: Georgia Tech, Miami, Notre Dame, Louisville
Only in contention for the #2 seed:
Georgia Tech (2-4) - Max 60%
W: FSU, Louisville
L: Syracuse, Clemson, BC, GT
Virginia (2-4) - Max 60%
W: Duke, UNC
L: Clemson, NC State, WF, Miami
Syracuse (1-5) - Max 50%
W: Georgia Tech
L: UNC, Pitt, Duke, Clemson, Wake Forest
Even if Clemson, uva, and GT all end at 6-4, Clemson has the head-to-head over both. Either team will be fully eliminated with loss AND Notre Dame win.
Meanwhile, Syracuse cannot overcome Clemson's 6 current wins. They will be fully eliminated with a loss OR Notre Dame win.
Out of contention:
Louisville (1-5) - Max 50%
W: FSU
L: Miami, Pitt, GT, ND, VT
Duke (1-5) - Max 50%
W: Syracuse
L: ND, BC, uva, VT, NC State
Even if Notre Dame loses out and ends at 5-5, they would have tiebreakers over Louisville and Duke and thus stay above those teams in the standings.
Big 12
Kansas State (4-1)
W: Oklahoma, Texas Tech, TCU, Kansas
L: WVU
Oklahoma State (3-1)
W: WVU, Kansas, Iowa State
L: Texas
Iowa State (4-1)
W: TCU, Oklahoma, Texas Tech, Kansas
L: Oklahoma State
WVU (3-2)
W: Baylor, Kansas, K-State
L: Oklahoma State, Texas Tech
Oklahoma (3-2)
W: Texas, TCU, Texas Tech
L: Kansas State, Iowa State
Texas (3-2)
W: Texas Tech, Baylor, OK State
L: TCU, Oklahoma
Baylor (1-3)
W: Kansas
L: WVU, Texas, TCU
Texas Tech (1-4)
W: WVU
L: Texas, Kansas State, Iowa State, Oklahoma
TCU (2-3)
W: Texas, Baylor
L: Iowa State, Kansas State, Oklahoma
Out of contention of #1 seed:
Kansas (0-5)
W: none
L: Baylor, Oklahoma State, WVU, Kansas State, Iowa State
The winner of K-State/Iowa State will have 5 wins.
SEC
Since the SEC is keeping their divisions, and only expanded their cross-divisional schedule, I'm keeping the "controls destiny" format, but tweaking it. I'm only listing division teams in the win or loss column, as those are the ones affecting the tiebreakers. The SEC is playing 10 conference games this year, so it will take longer for some teams to clinch or get eliminated.
East
Controls destiny:
Florida (4-1)
W: South Carolina, Missouri
L: none
Georgia (4-1)
W: Tennessee, Kentucky
L: none
Needs help:
Missouri (2-3)
W: Kentucky
L: Tennesssee, Florida
Needs: losses by Florida (2)
Kentucky (2-4)
W: Tennessee
L: Missouri, Georgia
Needs: losses by Missouri (2), additional losses by Florida and Georgia
Tennessee (2-3)
W: South Carolina, Missouri
L: Georgia, Kentucky
Needs: losses by Georgia (3), Missouri, and Kentucky, additional loss by Florida
South Carolina (2-3)
W: Vanderbilt
L: Tennessee, Florida
Needs: losses by Florida (3) and Tennessee, additional loss by Georgia
Vanderbilt (0-4)
W: none
L: USCe
Needs: additional losses by Florida and Georgia
West
Controls destiny:
Alabama (6-0)
W: Texas A&M, Ole Miss, Mississippi State
L: none
Needs help:
Auburn (4-2)
W: Arkansas, Ole Miss, LSU
L: none
Needs: additional loss by Alabama
Texas A&M (4-1)
W: Mississippi State, Arkansas
L: Alabama
Needs: losses by Alabama (2)
Arkansas (2-3)
W: Mississippi State, Ole Miss
L: Auburn, Texas A&M
Needs: losses by Auburn (2) and Texas A&M (3), additional losses by Alabama
LSU (2-3)
W: none
L: Mississippi State, Auburn
Needs: losses by Auburn (2), additional losses by Texas A&M and Alabama
Out of contention:
Mississippi State (1-4)
W: LSU
L: Arkansas, Texas A&M, Alabama
Ole Miss (2-4)
W: none
L: Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn
Both teams lose on the tiebreaker with Alabama.
Big Ten
The B1G is playing an 8 game schedule. The following week, everyone will play their counterpart from the opposite division in the same place in the standings. (So, 1 vs. 1, 7 vs. 7, etc.) They also screwed the standings up by outright cancelling the Wisconsin/Nebraska game without rescheduling.
East
Controls Destiny:
Indiana (2-0)
W: PSU, Rutgers
L: none
Ohio State (2-0)
W: PSU
L: none
Maryland (1-1)
Needs help:
Rutgers (1-1)
W: Michigan State
L: Indiana
Needs: losses by Indiana (2)
Michigan State (1-1)
W: Michigan
L: Rutgers
Needs: loss by Rutgers
Michigan (1-1)
W: none
L: MSU
Needs: loss by Michigan State
Penn State (0-2)
W: none
L: Indiana, Ohio State
Needs: losses by Indiana (3) and Ohio State (2)
West
Controls Destiny:
Northwestern (2-0)
W: Iowa
L: none
Purdue (2-0)
W: Iowa, Illinois
L: none
Wisconsin (1-0)
W: Illinois
L: none
Nebraska (0-1)
Needs help:
Minnesota (0-2)
Needs: additional losses by Northwestern and Purdue
Illinois (0-2)
W: none
L: Wisconsin, Purdue
Needs: losses by Wisconsin (2)
Iowa (0-2)
W: none
L: Purdue, Northwestern
Needs: losses by Purdue (2)
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