Sunday, October 27, 2013

ACC Wheel of Destiny: Week 9 wrap up

VT lost to Duke.  In a game that rivals only last year's Russell Athletic Bowl (VT vs. Rutgers) in terms of offensive incompetency, VT lost to Duke.

Anyway....on to the Wheel....

Atlantic FSU (5-0) controls their destiny.
Clemson (5-1) needs 2 FSU losses.
Syracuse (1-2) needs a Clemson loss and 2 additional FSU losses.
Wake Forest (2-3) needs 2 Clemson losses, a BC loss, and an additional 2 losses by FSU.  More than likely, they are out of contention anyway.
Boston College (1-3) and Maryland (1-3) are most likely out of contention.  They've both lost to FSU and Clemson, and would need a multi-way tie of 3 loss teams to even stand a chance.
NC State (0-4) is out of contention.
Magic number: 4

The only two teams with a realistic chance of winning the Atlantic division are FSU and Clemson.  Clemson's only chance is for FSU to lose two games.  The remaining teams are all relying on complicated multi-way tie scenarios which are too much for me to figure out right now, but I'm pretty sure since most of them have lost to FSU and Clemson, they don't stand a chance.

Coastal
Miami (3-0) controls their destiny.
Virginia Tech (3-1) still controls their destiny, even with the loss.
Georgia Tech (4-2) needs 3 losses by Miami and 2 by VT.
Pitt (2-2) needs 2 losses by VT, and 2 additional losses by Miami.
Duke (2-2) needs a Pitt loss, a GT loss, a VT loss, and an additional loss by Miami.
UNC (1-3) needs 3 VT losses, 4 Miami losses, and 2 GT losses.
UVA (0-4) needs 2 losses from Pitt, and an additional 2 losses each by VT and Miami.
Magic number: 6

Bowl eligible:  Virginia Tech, Clemson, Florida State, Miami, Duke
One win away: Maryland, Georgia Tech
Two wins away: Wake Forest, Pitt
One loss away from not going to a bowl:  UVA

The Road to the ACC Championship Game:

November 2:
Miami @ Florida State
-A cross divisional matchup, but it has impact on both sides, as the losing team would level the playing field for their division.  Moreso for the Coastal side, where 5 teams still have some sort of a chance.

November 9:
Virginia Tech @ Miami
-While it has lost its luster as being the Coastal equivalent of FSU/Clemson, it still looks like this game will determine the leader of the division.

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