Saturday, October 19, 2013

SEC Road to Atlanta: Week 8 wrap up

So the SEC managed to have itself a topsy turvy ACC style weekend.  It was great.  I have to admit, the divisional races in the SEC are quite entertaining.  In fact, it would be more fun if Alabama would lose, to keep things interesting.

SEC EAST
Missouri (3-0) controls their destiny, and has a 2 game lead on everybody.
Florida (3-2) and Georgia (3-2) each need 3 Missouri losses.
South Carolina (3-2) needs a Georgia loss, and 2 additional Mizzou losses.
Tennessee (1-2) needs a Georgia loss, a Florida loss, and two additional Mizzou losses.
Vanderbilt (1-3) kept their slim hopes alive this weekend, but still need 4 Mizzou losses, a Georgia loss, and 2 South Carolina losses.
Kentucky (0-3) needs -- wait, how about they win one first, and then we worry about it?  They still have an outside shot, but a lot that they don't control needs to happen.

SEC WEST
Alabama (4-0) obviously controls their destiny.
Auburn (3-1) also controls their destiny, which could set up the Iron Bowl at the end of the season as a de facto playoff game.
LSU (3-2) needs an Auburn loss, and an additional Alabama loss.
Texas A&M (2-2) needs 3 Alabama losses and 2 Auburn losses.
Ole Miss (2-3) needs 4 Alabama losses, 3 Auburn losses, and an LSU loss.
Mississippi State (0-2) needs an LSU loss, two Auburn losses, and an additional loss by Alabama.
Arkansas (0-4) is officially out.  Even if Alabama loses out, they would have the head-to-head tiebreaker.

Yes, we did see a case of a team that had previously lost control of their destiny get it back.  LSU had already beaten Auburn, but since LSU lost today while Auburn won, Auburn took control.

Key games for the SEC:

October 26
South Carolina @ Missouri
-A South Carolina win would bring Mizzou down closer to the rest of the division, and also help SC get an edge over Florida and Georgia.
-A Mizzou win would put them even further ahead and almost knock SC out.

November 2
Georgia vs. Florida
-The winner would potentially gain some ground and put themselves in position to take control of the division if Mizzou does stumble.

November 9
LSU @ Alabama
-This is pretty much LSU's last chance to stay relevant in the division.

November 30
Alabama @ Auburn
-If certain things hold out, this could determine the West champion.

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