Week 12 wrap up

Another weekend that did not quite go to script.  Every Power 5 conference with divisions has at least one participant of their title game determined.

ACC Wheel of Destiny

Atlantic Champion:  Clemson (8-0) vs. Coastal Champion:  North Carolina (7-0)
Both teams have the best record in their respective division.  If UNC does lose their final game, they are getting with the tiebreaker over Pitt.

Bowl eligible:  FSU, Clemson, Duke, Pitt, UNC, NC State, Miami, Louisville
Last chance:  Virginia Tech
No bowl:  Boston College, Syracuse, Wake Forest, Georgia Tech, UVA

SEC

East Champion:  Florida (7-1)
Florida won the division with the best record.

West
It all comes down to Alabama (6-1) or Ole Miss (5-2).

Key games:

Alabama at Auburn, November 28

Ole Miss at Mississippi State, November 28

Scenario #1:  Alabama beats Auburn
Outcome:  Alabama wins division, best record
Records:  Alabama (7-1), Ole Miss (6-2 or 5-3)

Scenario #2:  Auburn beats Alabama, Ole Miss beats Mississippi State

Outcome:  Ole Miss wins on head-to-head
Records:  Ole Miss (6-2), Alabama (6-2)

Scenario #3:  Auburn beats Alabama, Mississippi State beats Ole Miss
Outcome:  Alabama wins division, best record
Records:  Alabama (6-2), Ole Miss (5-3)

Bowl eligible:  Florida, LSU, Alabama, Ole Miss, Mississippi State, Texas A&M, Georgia, Tennessee, Arkansas, Auburn

Last chance:  Missouri, Kentucky
No bowl:  South Carolina, Vanderbilt

B1G
East
Going into week 12, there were four contenders:  Ohio State, Michigan State, Michigan, and Penn State.

Penn State (4-3) was eliminated in a loss to Michigan (6-1).

Michigan State (6-1) jumped to the top with a win over Ohio State (6-1).

There are two key games to determine the division winner:
-Ohio State at Michigan, November 28
-Penn State at Michigan State, November 28

Scenario #1:  Ohio State over Michigan, Penn State over Michigan State
Outcome:  Ohio State wins division
Records:  Ohio State (7-1), Michigan State (6-2), Michigan (6-2)

Scenario #2:  Ohio State over Michigan, Michigan State over Penn State
Outcome:  Michigan State wins division, head-to-head tiebreaker over Ohio State

Records:  Michigan State (7-1), Ohio State (7-1), Michigan (6-2)

Scenario #3:  Michigan over Ohio State, Michigan State over Penn State
Outcome:  Michigan State wins division, head-to-head tiebreaker over Michigan

Records:  Michigan State (7-1), Michigan (7-1), Ohio State (6-2)

Scenario #4:  Michigan over Ohio State, Penn State over Michigan State
Outcome:  Michigan wins division, best record

Records:  Michigan (7-1), Michigan State (6-2), Ohio State (6-2)

Michigan State is the only team that controls their destiny.  If they win their game, they win the division.  If Penn State wins, then the winner of Ohio State/Michigan wins the division.

West Champion:  Iowa (7-0)
Iowa either takes it with best record, or head-to-head over Wisconsin.

Bowl eligible:  Ohio State, Iowa, Michigan State, Penn State, Wisconsin, Northwestern, Michigan
Last chance:  Illinois, Nebraska, Indiana, Minnesota
No bowl:  Maryland, Purdue, Rutgers

Pac-12

North Champion:  Stanford (8-1)
They win with best record.

South
It all comes down to the winner of UCLA (5-3) at USC (5-3) on November 28.  That team would either win with best record, or the head-to-head tiebreaker over Utah (5-3).

Bowl eligible:  Utah, Stanford, UCLA, Washington State, Oregon, USC, Arizona, Cal, Arizona State
Last chance:  Washington
No bowl:  Oregon State, Colorado

Big 12
With a loss, TCU (6-2) dropped out of contention.  With both Oklahoma and Oklahoma State sitting at 7-1, we know that the winner of that game will be 8-1.  That also means that Baylor (6-1) is unable to win the conference on best record.

Single team finishes at 8-1

Scenario #1:  Oklahoma State
Setup:  Oklahoma State beats Oklahoma, Baylor loses to TCU or Texas
Outcome:  Oklahoma State champ, best record

Scenario #2:  Oklahoma
Setup:  Oklahoma beats Oklahoma State loses out, Baylor loses to TCU or Texas
Outcome:  Oklahoma champ, best record

Two way ties at 8-1

Scenario #3:  Oklahoma State/Baylor
Setup:  Baylor wins out, Oklahoma State beats Oklahoma
Outcome:  Baylor champ, head-to-head

Scenario #4:  Oklahoma/Baylor
Setup:  Oklahoma and Baylor win out
Outcome:  Oklahoma champ, head-to-head

Controls destiny:

-Oklahoma (7-1) has a tiebreaker over Baylor.

Needs help:
-Baylor (6-1) beat Oklahoma State, lost to Oklahoma.
-Oklahoma State (7-1) has a tiebreaker over TCU.

Key games:
-Baylor at TCU, November 27
-Oklahoma at Oklahoma State, November 28
-Texas at Baylor, December 5

If TCU beats Baylor on Black Friday, "Bedlam" becomes a winner take all game.

Bowl eligible:  TCU, Oklahoma State, Baylor, Oklahoma, Texas Tech, West Virginia
Edge of no bowl:  Kansas State, Texas
Not bowl eligible:  Kansas, Iowa State

American
East
-Temple (6-1) can clinch the division with a win.
-South Florida (5-2) can clinch the division with a win AND Temple loss.

West
The winner of Navy (7-0) at Houston (6-1) will determine the division champion.