Week 10 wrap up

For once, the ACC is making things fairly easy.  Meanwhile, the SEC East and B1G West are a mess.  Sometimes you just need one team to win the right game just to knock everyone out of contention.  Or do what the ACC does and eliminate 5 of 7 teams in one division over the course of seven hours.

I am no longer listing tiebreakers over teams that are out of contention, since they don't matter.

ACC Wheel of Destiny
Atlantic
Magic number:  3

Controls destiny:
Clemson (6-0) has a tiebreaker over Louisville.  They can clinch the division with one more win.

Needs help:
Louisville (6-1) can clinch the division with a win AND 2 Clemson losses.
Wake Forest (3-2) can clinch the division by winning out AND Clemson losing out.

Out of contention:

Boston College (1-5), FSU (3-3), NC State (1-4), Syracuse (2-3)

Key games:
Pitt at Clemson (11/12) - Clemson clinches with a win.
If Clemson loses, then:
----WF at Louisville (11/12) - loser is eliminated.
----Clemson at WF (11/19) - Clemson cliches with a win.

Coastal
Magic number: 4

Controls destiny:
Virginia Tech (5-1) has the tiebreaker over UNC.  They can clinch with either 2 wins, or a win AND a UNC loss, or 2 UNC losses.  Remaining conference opponents:  GT and UVA.

Needs help:
UNC (5-1) needs a VT loss.  In order to clinch, they need 2 wins AND a VT loss, or 1 win AND 2 VT losses.  Two losses would eliminate them from contention.  Remaining conference opponents:  Duke and NC State.

Out of contention:
Pitt (2-3) and Miami (2-3) both lost to VT and UNC, and therefore would not be able to win any tiebreakers in a multi-team tie at 5-3.
UVA (1-4), Georgia Tech (2-4), Duke (0-5)

Key games:
UNC at Duke (11/10) and GT at VT (11/12)
If UNC and VT have the same outcome, then it comes down to NC State at UNC (11/25) and UVA at VT (11/26).

Bowl eligible:  Clemson, Louisville, UNC, VT, Wake Forest, Florida State
One win away:  Pitt, GT, Miami
Two wins away:  NC State, Syracuse, Boston College
Edge of no bowl:  Duke
No bowl:  UVA

Atlantic vs. Coastal:  Atlantic 7-3.
Atlantic wins: Wake Forest over Duke, Clemson over GT, FSU over Miami, Louisville over Duke, Syracuse over VT, Louisville over UVA, Wake Forest over UVA.
Coastal wins: Georgia Tech over BC, Virginia Tech over BC, UNC over FSU.


SEC
East
Magic number:  5

Controls destiny:
Florida (4-2) has tiebreakers over Georgia, Kentucky, and Vanderbilt.  They lost to Tennessee.

Needs help:
Kentucky (4-3) needs 2 Florida losses.  They have tiebreakers over SC and Vanderbilt.
Tennessee (2-3) needs a Florida loss.  They have tiebreakers over Florida and Georgia, but lost to South Carolina.

Just start winning:
Georgia (3-4) lost to Tennessee and Florida, but has tiebreakers over Kentucky and South Carolina.
South Carolina (3-4) has tiebreakers over Tennessee and Vanderbilt, but lost to Georgia and Kentucky.
Vanderbilt (1-4) has a tiebreaker over Georgia, but lost to SC and Florida.

Out of contention:
Missouri (0-5)

West
Magic number:  3

Controls destiny:
Alabama (6-0) can clinch with a win AND an Auburn loss.
Auburn (5-1) can clinch with 2 wins OR 2 Alabama losses.

Out of contention:
Texas A&M (4-2), LSU (3-2), Arkansas (2-3), Mississippi State (2-3), Ole Miss (1-4)

LSU and Texas A&M have yet to play each other, so only one of those two could be involved with a multi-team tie at 6-2, which would have to involve Alabama.  Alabama has the head-to-head over both teams, and would win a two way tie.

In a three way tie of LSU/Alabama/Auburn, LSU lost to the other two teams.

In a three way tie of Texas A&M/Alabama/Auburn, all three would be 1-1 against each other.  It would then go down to divisional record, where Auburn would win with only 1 division loss vs. 2.

Bowl eligible:  Texas A&M, Alabama, Florida, Auburn, Tennessee, Arkansas
One win away:  Georgia, Kentucky, LSU, South Carolina
Two wins away:  Vanderbilt, Mississippi State, Ole Miss
No bowl:  Missouri


B1G
East
Magic number:  4

Controls destiny:
Michigan (6-0) has a tiebreaker over Penn State.
Ohio State (5-1) has a tiebreaker over Indiana.  They lost to Penn State, but have the better overall record, which keeps them ahead.

Needs help:
Penn State (5-1) needs two Michigan losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Ohio State.
Indiana (3-3) needs 3 Ohio State losses, 2 extra Michigan losses, and an extra Penn State loss.

Out of contention:
Maryland (2-4), Michigan State (0-6), Rutgers (0-6)


West
Magic number: 6

Controls destiny:
Wisconsin (4-2) has tiebreakers over Iowa, Nebraska, and Northwestern.
Minnesota (4-2) has a tiebreaker over Illinois.

Needs help:
Nebraska (4-2) needs a Wisconsin loss.  They have tiebreakers over Northwestern, Purdue, and Illinois.
Northwestern (3-3) needs two Nebraska losses and two Wisconsin losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Iowa.
Iowa (3-3) needs a Minnesota loss, a Northwestern loss, and two Wisconsin losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Purdue and Minnesota.

Just start winning:
Purdue (1-5) lost to Nebraska and Iowa, but has a tiebreaker over Illinois.
Illinois (2-4) lost to Minnesota, Nebraska, and Purdue.

Bowl eligible:  Michigan, Ohio State, Nebraska, Penn State, Minnesota, Wisconsin
One win away:  Iowa, Maryland, Indiana
Two wins away: Northwestern
Edge of no bowl:  Purdue, Illinois
No bowl:  Rutgers, Michigan State


Pac-12
North
Magic number: 3
Based on records, it should be 4, but since Washington and Washington State play each other, we know that one team is getting at least 7 wins.

Controls destiny:
Washington (6-0)
Washington State (6-0)

Out of contention:
Stanford (4-3), Cal (2-4), Oregon State (1-5), Oregon (1-5)

South
Magic number:  5

Controls destiny:
Colorado (5-1) has a tiebreaker over Arizona State, but lost to USC.
Utah (4-2) has tiebreakers over USC, UCLA, and Arizona.

Needs help:
USC (5-2) needs a Utah loss and a Colorado loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Colorado.

Out of contention:
UCLA (1-5), Arizona (0-6)
Arizona State (2-4) can only force a tie at 5-4, which would have to include Colorado and USC, both teams that they lost to.

Bowl eligible:  Washington, Washington State, Stanford, USC, Utah, Colorado
One win away:  Arizona State
Two wins away:  California
Edge of no bowl:  Oregon, UCLA
No bowl:  Oregon State,  Arizona


Big 12
Magic number:  4

Controls destiny:
Oklahoma (6-0) has tiebreakers over TCU, Kansas State, Texas Tech, and Texas.
Oklahoma State (5-1) has tiebreakers over Kansas State, Texas, and WVU.

Needs help:
West Virginia (4-1) needs an Oklahoma State loss.  They have tiebreakers over Kansas State, TCU, and Texas Tech.
Baylor (3-2) needs an extra Oklahoma loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Oklahoma State, but lost to Texas and TCU.
TCU (3-2) needs 3 Oklahoma losses and 3 WVU losses.  They have a tiebreaker over Baylor.

Kansas State (3-3) needs 3 WVU losses, 3 Oklahoma State losses, and 3 Oklahoma losses.  They have tiebreakers over Texas Tech and Texas.

Just start winning:

Texas (3-3) lost to Oklahoma State, Kansas State, and Oklahoma.  They beat Baylor.

Out of contention:
Texas Tech (1-4), Kansas (0-6), Iowa State (0-6)

Bowl eligible:  Baylor, West Virginia, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State
One win away:  Kansas State, Texas, TCU
Two wins away:  Texas Tech
No bowl:  Iowa State, Kansas