Wednesday, November 2, 2022

What if the Pac-12 still had divisions? 2022 Week 9 Wrap Up

Since the Pac-12 scrapped their divisions this year but kept the schedule, we can track how the season would have gone with divisions and see if we ultimately end up with a different Pac-12 championship.

Pac-12 North
Controls destiny:
-Oregon (5-0)
   W:  Washington State, Stanford, Cal

Needs help:
-Washington (3-2) needs an additional loss by Oregon.
   W:  Stanford, Cal
-Oregon State (3-2) needs an additional loss by Oregon.
   W:  Stanford, Washington State

Probably out of contention:
-Washington State (1-4)
   W:  Cal
   L:  Oregon, Oregon State

I don't see Washington State having enough tiebreakers in most scenarios, but it's also a little early and way too hypothetical to worry about all of the scenarios.  Either way, a loss OR Oregon win would definitely knock them out.

Out of contention:
-Cal (1-4)
   L:  Washington State, Washington, Oregon
-Stanford (1-5)
   L:  Washington, Oregon, Oregon State

Oregon's 5 wins automatically eliminates any team with 5 or more losses, taking care of Stanford.  If there are any 5-4 ties, Cal has already lost to any and all of the teams that could be involved in those ties, so they are eliminated.

 Pac-12 South
Controls destiny:
-UCLA (4-1)
   W: Colorado, Utah

Needs help:
-Utah (4-1) needs a UCLA loss.
   W:  Arizona State, USC
   L:  UCLA
-USC (5-1) needs a Utah loss.
   W:  Arizona State, Arizona
   L:  Utah

-Arizona State (2-3) needs losses by Utah (3) and USC (3) plus an additional loss by UCLA.
   W:  Colorado
   L:  Utah, USC

Probably out of contention:
-Arizona (1-4)
   W:  Colorado
   L: USC
-Colorado (1-4)
   L:  UCLA, Arizona, Arizona State

Right now, either team only has possible hopes of a 5-4 tie.  A loss OR USC win would definitely eliminate either team.

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