Seriously, VT, just fire Brad Cornelsen already.
Reminder that the conference races only count conference games. Tiebreaker info is under each team, separated into wins (W) and losses (L).
Teams that control their own destiny can win their division by winning out. Teams who need help are able of regaining control if other teams lose. Teams who are "out of control" could still win their division, but require tiebreakers.
ACC Wheel of Destiny
Atlantic
Controls destiny:
-Wake Forest (5-0)
W: Louisville, FSU, Syracuse
-NC State (4-1)
W: Clemson, BC, Louisville, FSU
Needs help:
-Clemson (5-2) needs two NC State losses plus an additional loss by WF.
W: BC, Syracuse, FSU, Louisville
L: NC State
Out of contention:
-Louisville (2-4)
-FSU (2-4)
-Syracuse (2-3)
-Boston College (1-4)
Syracuse loses out on tiebreakers, while the other teams just have too many losses.
Coastal
Controls destiny:
-Pitt (4-1)
W: GT, VT, Duke
L: Miami
-uva (4-2)
W: Miami, Duke, GT
L: UNC
Needs help:
-Miami (3-2) needs losses by uva and Pitt.
W: Pitt, GT
L: uva, UNC
-VT (2-3) needs 3 Pitt losses.
W: UNC, GT
L: Pitt
-UNC (3-3) needs losses by VT, Miami, and uva, plus an additional loss by Pitt.
W: Duke, uva, Miami
L: VT, GT
Out of contention:
-GT (2-5)
-Duke (0-5)
Bowl eligible: WF, Pitt, uva, NC State, Clemson
1 win away: BC, Syracuse, Miami, UNC
1 loss away: FSU, GT, Duke
SEC
East Champions - Georgia Bulldogs (7-0)
Georgia has officially clenched the division with the best record.
Out of contention:
-Kentucky (3-3)
-Tennessee (3-3)
-Florida (2-5)
-Mizzou (1-4)
-SC (2-3)
-Vandy (0-5)
West
Controls destiny:
-Alabama (5-1)
W: Ole Miss, Mississippi State, LSU
L: Texas A&M
Needs help:
-Texas A&M (4-2) needs a loss by Alabama.
W: Alabama, Auburn
L: Arkansas, Miss State
-Auburn (3-2) needs a loss by Texas A&M.
W: LSU, Arkansas, Ole Miss
L: Texas A&M
-Ole Miss (3-2) needs losses by Alabama (2) and Auburn.
W: Arkansas
L: Alabama, Auburn
-Mississippi State (3-3) needs losses by Alabama (3), Texas A&M, and Arkansas.
W: Texas A&M
L: LSU, Alabama, Arkansas
-Arkansas (2-3) needs losses by Ole Miss (2), Auburn (2), and Texas A&M, plus an additional loss by Alabama.
W: Texas A&M, Miss State
L: Ole Miss, Auburn
Out of contention:
-LSU (2-4)
Any of the three loss teams will be eliminated with a loss.
Bowl eligible: Georgia, Kentucky, Alabama, Ole Miss, Texas A&M, Auburn, Arkansas
1 win away: Mississippi State, Tennessee, USCe
No bowl: Vandy
Big Ten (B1G)
East
Controls destiny:
-Ohio State (6-0)
W: Rutgers, Maryland, Indiana, PSU
-Michigan State (5-1)
W: Rutgers, Indiana, Michigan
Needs help:
-Michigan (5-1) needs a loss by Michigan State.
W: Rutgers, Indiana
L: Michigan State
Out of control:
-Penn State (3-3) would need to force a multi team tie at 6-3 to have a chance. They will be eliminated with a loss OR Ohio State win.
W: Indiana, Maryland
L: OSU
If PSU wins out and OSU loses out, both will be 6-3, but OSU will have the head-to-head tiebreaker. PSU would need Michigan and/or Michigan State to also be part of the tie. In the case of a four-team tie, PSU would come out ahead as MSU and PSU would be the two teams at 2-1 in the group and PSU would have the head-to-head. In any three team tie, OSU, PSU, and whichever Michigan school involved would all be 1-1 against each other, and it would go further down the list of tiebreakers.
Out of contention:
-Maryland (2-4)
-Rutgers (1-5)
-Indiana (0-6)
West
Controls destiny:
-Minnesota (4-2)
W: Purdue, Nebraska, Northwestern
L: Illinois
-Wisconsin (4-2)
W: Illinois, Purdue, Iowa
Needs help:
-Purdue (4-2) needs losses by Minnesota and Wisconsin.
W: Illinois, Iowa, Nebraska
L: Minnesota, Wisconsin
-Iowa (4-2) needs losses by Wisconsin and Purdue.
W: Northwestern
L: Purdue, Wisconsin
-Illinois (3-3) needs losses by Purdue (2), Wisconsin (2), and Minnesota.
W: Nebraska, Minnesota
L: Purdue, Wisconsin
Out of contention:
-Northwestern (1-5) is eliminated as Minnesota and Iowa play each other next week, guaranteeing a 5-win team.
-Nebraska (1-6)
Bowl eligible: MSU, Michigan, Iowa, OSU, Minnesota, PSU, Wisconsin, Purdue
1 win away: Maryland
1 loss away: Illinois, Northwestern
No bowl: Indiana, Nebraska
Pac-12
North
Controls destiny:
-Oregon (5-1)
W: Cal, Washington
L: Stanford
-Washington State (4-2)
W: Cal, Oregon State, Stanford
Needs help:
-Oregon State (3-3) need an additional loss by Oregon.
W: Washington
L: Washington State, Cal
-Washington (3-3) needs a losses by Oregon (3) and Oregon State.
W: Cal, Stanford
L: Oregon State, Oregon
Out of contention:
-Stanford (2-5)
-Cal (2-4)
Cal would need Oregon to lose out to force a tie at 5-4. That would push Washington State up to 5 wins, so they would need to lose the rest of their games and also be in the 5-4 tie. Therefore, any tie Cal would be part of would have to include both Oregon and Washington State. They are 0-2 against those teams. Now Cal needs to include Oregon State and/or Washington in that tie. While they have a tiebreaker over Oregon State, they lost to Washington. Cal can't win with only 1 tiebreaker and they are officially out of contention.
South
Controls destiny:
-Utah (5-1)
W: USC, Az State, UCLA
Needs help:
-Arizona State (4-2) needs losses by Utah (2).
W: Colorado, UCLA, USC
L: Utah
-UCLA (3-3) needs losses by Utah (3) and Arizona State (2).
W: Arizona
L: Arizona State, Utah
-Colorado (2-4) needs losses by Arizona State (3), USC, plus additional losses by Utah (2).
W: Arizona
L: USC
Out of control:
-USC (3-4) needs Utah to lose out and force a tie of 5-4 teams, but they need other teams involved.
W: Colorado, Arizona
L: Utah, Arizona State
The 4-loss teams will be eliminated with a loss OR Utah win. UCLA can be eliminated with a loss AND a Utah win. Utah can clinch with a win AND losses by Arizona State and UCLA.
Out of contention:
-Arizona (1-5)
Bowl eligible: Oregon, Utah, Az State
1 win away: UCLA, Washington State, Oregon State
1 loss away: Colorado, Cal, Stanford
no bowl: Arizona
Big 12
Always a bit different in the Big 12 with no divisions and a round robin schedule. Since Oklahoma is already 6-0, so worst possible record is 6-3, we already know that any team with 4 or more losses cannot be the #1 seed in the Big 12 Championship game. Also, any 3 loss team who has lost to Oklahoma cannot be eligible for the #1 seed. Some of those teams might be eligible for the #2 seed.
-Oklahoma (6-0)
W: WVU, K-State, Texas, TCU, Kansas, Texas Tech
-Oklahoma State (5-1)
W: K-State, Baylor, Texas, Kansas, WVU
L: Iowa State
-Baylor (4-2)
W: Kansas, Iowa State, WVU, Texas
L: Oklahoma State, TCU
-Iowa State (4-2)
W: Kansas, K-State, Oklahoma State, Texas
L: Baylor, WVU
Ineligible for #1 seed:
-Kansas State (3-3)
W: Texas Tech, TCU, Kansas
L: Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Iowa State
-Texas (2-4)
W: Texas Tech, TCU
L: Oklahoma, OK State, Baylor, Iowa State
-WVU (2-4)
W: TCU, Iowa State
L: Oklahoma, Texas Tech, Baylor, Oklahoma State
-TCU (2-4)
W: Texas Tech, Baylor
L: Texas, Oklahoma, WVU, K-State
-Texas Tech (2-4)
W: WVU, Kansas
L: Texas, TCU, K-State, Oklahoma
Out of contention:
-Kansas (0-6)
Bowl eligible: Oklahoma, OK State, Baylor, Iowa State, K-State
1 win away: Texas Tech
no bowl: Kansas
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