Saturday, October 18, 2014

ACC Wheel of Destiny: Week 8

The Coastal is eating itself, as usual, and the Atlantic has officially eliminated someone!


Atlantic
Controls destiny:
-Florida State (4-0) has tiebreakers over Clemson, NC State, Wake Forest, and Syracuse.

Needs help:
-Clemson (4-1) needs two FSU losses.  They have tiebreakers over Louisville, BC, and NC State.
-Louisville (4-2) needs two Clemson losses and an extra FSU loss.  They have tiebreakers over Wake Forest, Syracuse, and NC State.
-Boston College (1-2) needs two Clemson losses and an extra FSU loss.  They have a tiebreaker over NC State.
-Syracuse (1-2) needs 3 FSU losses.  They have a tie breaker over Wake Forest.

 Just start winning:
-Wake Forest (0-3) lost to Louisville, FSU, and Syracuse.

Out of contention:
-NC State (0-4) - Even if there was some tie at 4-4 for the division lead, they would lose almost all of the head-to-heads.  They would only be 2-4 at best in the division.  Based on current standings, any other potential 4-4 team would be either 3-3 or 4-2 in division games.

Coastal
Controls destiny:
-Duke (1-1) has tiebreakers over GT and UVA.  Their loss is to Miami.

Needs help:
-UVA (2-1) needs a Duke loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Pitt.
-Pitt (2-1) needs a UVA loss.  They have a tiebreaker over VT.
-Georgia Tech (2-2) needs a Duke loss, but has tiebreakers over VT and Miami.  They lost to UNC.
-Virginia Tech (1-2) needs 2 Pitt losses and a GT loss, but has a tiebreaker over UNC.
-UNC (1-2) needs a VT loss.  They do have a tiebreaker over GT.
-Miami (1-2) needs a GT loss and a Duke loss.  They have a tiebreaker over Duke.

And the link we'll be needing quite a bit in a few weeks:  ACC Tiebreakers

Road to Charlotte
October 23:  Miami at Virginia Tech -- loser is likely eliminated.  But it is the Coastal, so never say never.
October 25:  UNC at UVA, GT at Pitt -- these games will determine the tone of the Coastal.
October 30:  FSU at Louisville -- Either solidifies FSU's position, or cuts out the safety nets.

Bowl eligible:  Florida State, Duke, Louisville
One win away:  Georgia Tech, Clemson
Two wins away:  Virginia Tech, UVA, NC State, Miami, Pitt, BC

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