Sunday, November 3, 2013

ACC Wheel of Destiny: Week 10 wrap up

The Atlantic is almost decided.  The Coastal is a little murkier, which is usually how it rolls.

Atlantic
This division is simple.
FSU (6-0) clenches with their next win.
Clemson (6-1) needs FSU to lose two games.  They would also beat out Syracuse if it came down to a three way tie of 2-loss teams, based on division records (which would eliminate FSU), and then head-to-head.
Syracuse (2-2), Wake Forest (2-4), BC (2-3), Maryland (1-3), and NC State (0-5) are out of contention.

CoastalIt's taken some time to untangle this division.  There are a lot of possibilities in this division, and it's hard for some teams to find a clear cut way to control their destiny.  While there are several chances of 2 or 3 team ties, there is no 4 way tie with only 2 losses.  And it's still too early to get into hypotheticals for 3 loss ties.
Miami (3-1) controls their destiny.
Virginia Tech (3-2) either needs a Duke loss or a GT win against Clemson to force a three way tie.
Duke (2-2) needs a GT loss.
Georgia Tech (5-2) needs 2 Miami losses, and 1 VT loss.
Pitt (2-3) and UNC (2-3) both need everyone in front of them to lose 1 or 2 games.  They play each other on 11/16, and the loser is officially out.
UVA (0-5) is out. 

Bowl eligible:  Virginia Tech, Clemson, Florida State, Miami, Duke, Georgia Tech
One win away: Maryland
Two wins away: Wake Forest, Pitt
Not bowl eligible:  UVA

The Road to the ACC Championship Game:

November 9:
Florida State @ Wake Forest
-If FSU wins, they clench the division.

Virginia Tech @ Miami
-This winner of this game stays alive.

November 14:
Georgia Tech @ Clemson
-The outcome of this game could affect tiebreakers in the Coastal division.

November 16:
Miami @ Duke
-This is the game that is throwing a monkey wrench into all of the predictions above, because both teams are very much in the mix.

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