Monday, November 11, 2013

Week 11 wrap up: everyone else

It's time that I start paying attention to the races in the other conferences, and I'll probably start condensing all of the conferences into one weekly post starting next week.

We're at the part of the season where we have a few teams still contending, a few teams definitely out, and then a few teams that are probably out, but still have a shot based on very deep tiebreakers.  I don't care much for those teams.

Pac-12
This conference is unique, in that they play 9 conference games, and have a championship game.

On the North side, Stanford (6-1) and Oregon (5-1) lead the pack, with Stanford getting an impressive tiebreaker this week.

Oregon State (4-2) is a game back.  They've lost to Stanford, and have yet to play Oregon.  So, in theory, Oregon State needs Stanford to lose two.

Based on their record, Washington (3-3) looks like they might have a chance, but when you look closer, they are out.  They have already lost to Stanford and Oregon, so the only way they could be in the mix is if there is a 4 way tie with 3 losses.  But, Stanford has already played all 5 teams within their division and beat them all, so no one can beat them on that tiebreaker.

Washington State (2-4) and Cal (0-7) are both out.

In the South, Arizona State (5-1) leads.

UCLA (4-2) still controls their destiny, since they have yet to play Arizona State.  Also, their two losses come from the North division, so they still have an edge in that tiebreaker.

USC (4-2) has already lost to Arizona State, so they need the Sun Devils to lose again.

Arizona (3-3) needs Arizona State to lose another game before they meet in the season finale.  They also need UCLA and USC to lose at least one more, but two would help them more.

Utah (1-5) and Colorado (0-6) are out.

B1G
Since they can't count anymore, we'll just go with a G instead of a 0, 2, or 4.

Ohio State (5-0) leads the Leaders.

Wisconsin (4-1) needs an Ohio State loss.

Indiana (2-3) is surprising me that they are not at the bottom.  Beyond that, they need 3 Ohio State losses and 2 Wisconsin losses.  They also play both schools in the next two weeks.

Illinois (0-5) and Purdue (0-5) are out.  Penn State isn't eligible for the next three years, so it doesn't matter how they're doing.

Michigan State (5-0) leads the Legends.

Nebraska (4-1) still controls their destiny because they have yet to play Michigan State.

Minnesota (4-2) needs 2 Nebraska losses and a Michigan State loss.  They play Sparty at the end of the season.

Iowa (3-3) and Michigan (2-3) are far enough back that they're probably not in contention, but haven't been mathematically eliminated.

Northwestern (0-5) is out.

American (formerly Big East)
I'm still following this conference this year, since it is their last as one of the big boys, and so they have one final guaranteed bid.  I'm not following the conference too closely, especially as the nature of their scheduling has a lot of teams bunched together in the standings.  There are 10 teams, but each team plays 8 conference games, so they all miss out on one other team.

UCF (4-0) controls their destiny.

Louisville (4-1), Cincinnati (4-1), and Houston (4-1) all need UCF to lose at least one.  More than likely, they need 2 UCF losses, and losses from each other.

Rutgers (2-2), South Florida (2-2), and SMU (2-2) are not mathematically out, but are long shots.

Memphis (0-4), UConn (0-4), and Temple (0-5) are out.

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