Thursday, November 14, 2013

ACC Wheel of Destiny: Week 12 update

The race for the Coastal division got one step closer to the end, but I'm not sure it got any clearer.  After all, the number crunchers at ESPN are saying there were over a thousand different possibilities for the Coastal race prior to Thursday's game.

With Georgia Tech losing, they end their conference campaign at 5-3.  While that does not officially knock anyone out of contention, it does shift control of the division over to Duke (3-2).

This means all eyes shift over to Duke's game against Miami (3-2) on Saturday.  Now, with GT losing, this game is not an elimination game, but it is a destiny decider.

With only 3 teams left at 2 losses, and one of those guaranteed to lose on Saturday, the only tie scenarios for 2 loss teams is VT being tied with the Miami/Duke winner.  As we've already pointed out, VT has a the tiebreaker over Miami, but Duke has it over VT.

So, Duke controls their destiny.
Virginia Tech needs a Duke loss.
Miami needs a VT loss.
Georgia Tech is done with conference play, and has ceded control.
Pitt and UNC are both hoping that VT and the winner of Miami/Duke loses another game.

Perhaps we can start looking at clenching scenarios following this weekend.  The Miami/Duke game controls so many possibilities that once we get past it, the road to Charlotte should be much clearer.

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