I might have gotten a few things wrong last week. Here are the updated predictions.
National title: Alabama (SEC champ, #1) vs. Florida State (ACC champ, #2)
We could still get an upset with these two, but that would open an even bigger debate of who should take over.
Rose Bowl: Ohio State (B1G champ) vs. Arizona State (Pac-12 champ)
I kind of like Michigan State better in the B1G, but I can't quite bring myself to pull the trigger on them yet. Meanwhile, Arizona State is in a grudge match against Stanford, and most likely it will be on their turf. They want it more.
Orange Bowl: Clemson (ACC, at-large) vs. Michigan State (B1G, at-large)
If Michigan State upsets Ohio State in the B1G title game, then they could swap bowl spots. Also, if the Orange Bowl just goes down the rankings and picks the highest ranked eligible team, that spot could go to Baylor. Baylor doesn't have to worry about a conference championship game, so they could remain ranked higher if MSU loses the B1G title game.
Sugar Bowl: Missouri (SEC, at-large) vs. UCF (American champ)
In this scenario, Missouri wins the SEC East but loses to Alabama in the title game. While I think Louisville is the most attractive team in the American conference, I no longer feel confident that they will catch the necessary breaks to win the conference. UCF also has a closer fanbase more likely to travel.
Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma State (Big 12 champ) vs. Northern Illinois (non-AQ)
NIU has jumped Fresno as the highest ranked non-AQ, but I don't think they will be attractive to anyone, and will therefore fall to whoever picks last. I also don't see Oklahoma State losing to Oklahoma, so all of the other Big 12 scenarios don't really matter.
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